WallStSmart

Exelon Corporation (EXC)vsNRG Energy Inc. (NRG)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

NRG Energy Inc. generates 27% more annual revenue ($30.71B vs $24.26B). EXC leads profitability with a 11.4% profit margin vs 2.8%. NRG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.37. EXC earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 55/100 (C).

EXC

Buy

55

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.0Value: 4.7Quality: 3.0
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 0.63

NRG

Buy

54

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.0Value: 6.7Quality: 5.3
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.70
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

EXCOvervalued (-5.9%)

Margin of Safety

-5.9%

Fair Value

$41.97

Current Price

$45.99

$4.02 premium

UndervaluedFair: $41.97Overvalued
NRGUndervalued (+59.0%)

Margin of Safety

+59.0%

Fair Value

$391.91

Current Price

$155.58

$236.33 discount

UndervaluedFair: $391.91Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

EXC3 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
17.2x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.6x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
21.6%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 21.6%

NRG1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
41.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 42 in profit

Areas to Watch

EXC4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Debt/EquityHealth
1.763/10

Elevated debt levels

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

PEG RatioValuation
2.872/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-1.1%2/10

Revenue declined 1.1%

NRG4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
P/E RatioValuation
37.2x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.704/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Profit MarginProfitability
2.8%3/10

2.8% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
4.3%3/10

Operating margin of 4.3%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : EXC

The strongest argument for EXC centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Operating Margin.

Bull Case : NRG

The strongest argument for NRG centers on Return on Equity. Revenue growth of 13.7% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.37 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : EXC

The primary concerns for EXC are Debt/Equity, Piotroski F-Score, PEG Ratio. Debt-to-equity of 1.76 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : NRG

The primary concerns for NRG are P/E Ratio, Altman Z-Score, Profit Margin. Thin 2.8% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

EXC profiles as a declining stock while NRG is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

NRG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.34 — expect wider price swings.

NRG is growing revenue faster at 13.7% — sustainability is the question.

NRG generates stronger free cash flow (-175M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

EXC scores higher overall (55/100 vs 54/100). NRG offers better value entry with a 59.0% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Exelon Corporation

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - REGULATED ELECTRIC · USA

Exelon Corporation is an American Fortune 100 energy company headquartered in Chicago, Illinois and incorporated in Pennsylvania.

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NRG Energy Inc.

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

NRG Energy, Inc. is a large American energy company, headquartered in Houston, Texas. It was formerly the wholesale arm of Northern States Power Company (NSP), which became Xcel Energy, but became independent in 2000. NRG Energy is involved in energy generation and retail electricity.

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