NRG Energy Inc. (NRG) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
NRG Energy Inc. stock (NRG) is currently trading at $151.04. NRG Energy Inc. PE ratio is 37.76. NRG Energy Inc. PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 1.04. Analyst consensus price target for NRG is $202.12. WallStSmart rates NRG as Underperform.
- NRG PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- NRG PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- NRG intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- NRG stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- NRG fair value vs current price
- NRG insider transactions and insider buying
- Is NRG undervalued or overvalued?
- NRG Energy Inc. financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- NRG Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- NRG analyst price target and Smart Rating
NRG Energy Inc.
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NRG Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · NRG Energy Inc. (NRG)
NRG trades 491% above its Graham fair value of $27.20, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
NRG Energy Inc. (NRG) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in market cap, peg ratio, return on equity. Concerns around operating margin and price/book. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.
NRG Energy Inc. (NRG) Key Strengths (5)
Every $100 of shareholder equity generates $42 in profit
86.27% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Large-cap company with substantial market presence
Good growth relative to its price
Paying $1.04 for every $1 of annual revenue
Supporting Valuation Data
NRG Energy Inc. (NRG) Areas to Watch (5)
Earnings declining -91.30%, profits shrinking
Near-zero operating margins, business under pressure
Very expensive at 30.0x book value
Very thin margins, barely profitable
Solid revenue growth at 13.70% per year
Supporting Valuation Data
NRG Energy Inc. (NRG) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 54/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C- grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 5 register as strengths (avg 9.0/10) while 5 fall into concern territory (avg 2.2/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Return on Equity, Institutional Own., Market Cap. Valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (1.29), Price/Sales (1.04) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 41.50%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are EPS Growth, Operating Margin, Price/Book. Some valuation metrics including Price/Book (30.03) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 13.70%, EPS Growth at -91.30%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Operating Margin at 4.26%, Profit Margin at 2.81%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether EPS Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 41.50% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 13.70% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. Strengths and concerns are roughly balanced. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Return on Equity, Institutional Own.) and negatives (EPS Growth, Operating Margin). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
NRG Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
NRG's Price-to-Sales ratio of 1.04x sits near its historical average of 1.09x (14th percentile), suggesting the market is pricing in steady-state growth. The current valuation is 16% below its historical high of 1.25x set in Mar 2026, and 3% above its historical low of 1.01x in Mar 2026. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~1.3x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for NRG Energy Inc. (NRG) · UTILITIES › UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS
The Big Picture
NRG Energy Inc. operates as a stable business with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. Revenue reached 30.7B with 14% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 2.8%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.
Key Findings
ROE of 41.5% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.
Free cash flow is -175M, meaning the company is burning cash. This may be acceptable for high-growth companies investing heavily.
Earnings fell 91% YoY while revenue grew 14%. This gap usually reflects one-time items (tax benefits, write-offs) in the prior period, not an operational decline.
What to Watch Next
Margin expansion: can NRG Energy Inc. push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?
Sector dynamics: monitor UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact NRG Energy Inc..
Bottom Line
NRG Energy Inc. offers stability with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. The valuation may present an opportunity for patient investors, though limited growth means returns will likely come from dividends and modest capital appreciation rather than explosive gains.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions(87 last 3 months)
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
KINNEY, VIRGINIA Exec VP, Chief Admin Officer | Sell | -5,000 |
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
KAPOOR, SANJAY Director | Buy | +1,453 |
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
CURCI, BRIAN Exec VP & General Counsel | Sell | -60,580 |
Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings
Last updated: 10:12:22 AM
About NRG Energy Inc.(NRG)
NYSE
UTILITIES
UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER ...
USA
NRG Energy, Inc. is a large American energy company, headquartered in Houston, Texas. It was formerly the wholesale arm of Northern States Power Company (NSP), which became Xcel Energy, but became independent in 2000. NRG Energy is involved in energy generation and retail electricity.