WallStSmart

Forestar Group Inc (FOR)vsSmith Douglas Homes Corp. (SDHC)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Forestar Group Inc generates 74% more annual revenue ($1.69B vs $971.12M). FOR leads profitability with a 9.9% profit margin vs 1.1%. FOR trades at a lower P/E of 7.7x. FOR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 48/100 (D+).

FOR

Hold

48

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 4.0Profit: 6.0Value: 4.7Quality: 5.0

SDHC

Hold

43

out of 100

Grade: D

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.5Value: 5.7Quality: 5.0
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

FORSignificantly Overvalued (-32.7%)

Margin of Safety

-32.7%

Fair Value

$22.24

Current Price

$25.32

$3.08 premium

UndervaluedFair: $22.24Overvalued
SDHCSignificantly Overvalued (-122.9%)

Margin of Safety

-122.9%

Fair Value

$8.09

Current Price

$12.30

$4.21 premium

UndervaluedFair: $8.09Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

FOR2 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
7.7x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
0.7x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

SDHC2 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
10.2x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.3x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

FOR4 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Market CapQuality
$1.29B3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

PEG RatioValuation
4.902/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

EPS GrowthGrowth
-6.3%2/10

Earnings declined 6.3%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-157.10M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

SDHC4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Market CapQuality
$109.79M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Profit MarginProfitability
1.1%3/10

1.1% margin — thin

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-9.4%2/10

Revenue declined 9.4%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-59.4%2/10

Earnings declined 59.4%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : FOR

The strongest argument for FOR centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book.

Bull Case : SDHC

The strongest argument for SDHC centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book.

Bear Case : FOR

The primary concerns for FOR are Market Cap, PEG Ratio, EPS Growth.

Bear Case : SDHC

The primary concerns for SDHC are Market Cap, Profit Margin, Revenue Growth. Thin 1.1% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

FOR carries more volatility with a beta of 1.41 — expect wider price swings.

FOR is growing revenue faster at 9.0% — sustainability is the question.

SDHC generates stronger free cash flow (9M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor REAL ESTATE - DEVELOPMENT industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

FOR scores higher overall (48/100 vs 43/100). Both earn "Hold" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Forestar Group Inc

REAL ESTATE · REAL ESTATE - DEVELOPMENT · USA

Forestar Group Inc. is a residential lot development company in the United States. The company is headquartered in Arlington, Texas.

Smith Douglas Homes Corp.

REAL ESTATE · REAL ESTATE - DEVELOPMENT · USA

Smith Douglas Homes Corp. The company is headquartered in Woodstock, Georgia.

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