Forestar Group Inc (FOR)vsFive Point Holdings LLC (FPH)
FOR
Forestar Group Inc
$25.92
-1.29%
REAL ESTATE · Cap: $1.31B
FPH
Five Point Holdings LLC
$4.09
+0.25%
REAL ESTATE · Cap: $635.98M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Forestar Group Inc generates 1376% more annual revenue ($1.72B vs $116.87M). FPH leads profitability with a 45.4% profit margin vs 9.9%. FPH trades at a lower P/E of 6.1x. FPH earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 60/100 (C+).
FOR
Buy52
out of 100
Grade: C-
FPH
Buy60
out of 100
Grade: C+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+69.5%
Fair Value
$96.88
Current Price
$25.92
$70.96 discount
Margin of Safety
+13.4%
Fair Value
$6.11
Current Price
$4.09
$2.02 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Keeps 45 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Revenue surging 86.0% year-over-year
Earnings expanding 228.2% YoY
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Areas to Watch
4.2% revenue growth
Grey zone — moderate risk
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Weak financial health signals
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
ROE of 3.5% — below average capital efficiency
Weak financial health signals
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : FOR
The strongest argument for FOR centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book.
Bull Case : FPH
The strongest argument for FPH centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 45.4% and operating margin at -54.3%. Revenue growth of 86.0% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : FOR
The primary concerns for FOR are Revenue Growth, Altman Z-Score, Market Cap.
Bear Case : FPH
The primary concerns for FPH are Market Cap, Return on Equity, Piotroski F-Score.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
FOR profiles as a value stock while FPH is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
FOR carries more volatility with a beta of 1.40 — expect wider price swings.
FPH is growing revenue faster at 86.0% — sustainability is the question.
FOR generates stronger free cash flow (32M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
FPH scores higher overall (60/100 vs 52/100), backed by strong 45.4% margins and 86.0% revenue growth. FOR offers better value entry with a 69.5% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Forestar Group Inc
REAL ESTATE · REAL ESTATE - DEVELOPMENT · USA
Forestar Group Inc. is a residential lot development company in the United States. The company is headquartered in Arlington, Texas.
Five Point Holdings LLC
REAL ESTATE · REAL ESTATE - DEVELOPMENT · USA
Five Point Holdings, LLC, through its subsidiary, Five Point Operating Company, LP, designs and develops planned and mixed-use communities in Orange, Los Angeles and San Francisco counties. The company is headquartered in Irvine, California.
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