Forestar Group Inc (FOR)vsFive Point Holdings LLC (FPH)
FOR
Forestar Group Inc
$26.85
+1.24%
REAL ESTATE · Cap: $1.37B
FPH
Five Point Holdings LLC
$5.05
+1.00%
REAL ESTATE · Cap: $746.91M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Forestar Group Inc generates 1376% more annual revenue ($1.72B vs $116.87M). FPH leads profitability with a 45.4% profit margin vs 9.9%. FPH trades at a lower P/E of 7.0x. FPH earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 60/100 (C+).
FOR
Buy51
out of 100
Grade: C-
FPH
Buy60
out of 100
Grade: C+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+69.9%
Fair Value
$98.00
Current Price
$26.85
$71.15 discount
Margin of Safety
+13.3%
Fair Value
$6.10
Current Price
$5.05
$1.05 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Earnings expanding 22.3% YoY
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Keeps 45 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Revenue surging 86.0% year-over-year
Earnings expanding 228.2% YoY
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Areas to Watch
Grey zone — moderate risk
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Operating margin of 4.7%
Weak financial health signals
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
ROE of 6.2% — below average capital efficiency
Weak financial health signals
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : FOR
The strongest argument for FOR centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, EPS Growth.
Bull Case : FPH
The strongest argument for FPH centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 45.4% and operating margin at -54.3%. Revenue growth of 86.0% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : FOR
The primary concerns for FOR are Altman Z-Score, Market Cap, Operating Margin.
Bear Case : FPH
The primary concerns for FPH are Market Cap, Return on Equity, Piotroski F-Score.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
FOR profiles as a value stock while FPH is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
FOR carries more volatility with a beta of 1.41 — expect wider price swings.
FPH is growing revenue faster at 86.0% — sustainability is the question.
FOR generates stronger free cash flow (32M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
FPH scores higher overall (60/100 vs 51/100), backed by strong 45.4% margins and 86.0% revenue growth. FOR offers better value entry with a 69.9% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Forestar Group Inc
REAL ESTATE · REAL ESTATE - DEVELOPMENT · USA
Forestar Group Inc. is a residential lot development company in the United States. The company is headquartered in Arlington, Texas.
Five Point Holdings LLC
REAL ESTATE · REAL ESTATE - DEVELOPMENT · USA
Five Point Holdings, LLC, through its subsidiary, Five Point Operating Company, LP, designs and develops planned and mixed-use communities in Orange, Los Angeles and San Francisco counties. The company is headquartered in Irvine, California.
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