Forestar Group Inc (FOR)vsFive Point Holdings LLC (FPH)
FOR
Forestar Group Inc
$25.32
+0.72%
REAL ESTATE · Cap: $1.29B
FPH
Five Point Holdings LLC
$4.93
-0.40%
REAL ESTATE · Cap: $918.56M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Forestar Group Inc generates 769% more annual revenue ($1.69B vs $193.90M). FPH leads profitability with a 48.6% profit margin vs 9.9%. FPH trades at a lower P/E of 4.8x. FPH earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 52/100 (C-).
FOR
Hold48
out of 100
Grade: D+
FPH
Buy52
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-32.7%
Fair Value
$22.24
Current Price
$25.32
$3.08 premium
Margin of Safety
+91.3%
Fair Value
$60.84
Current Price
$4.93
$55.91 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Keeps 49 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Areas to Watch
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Expensive relative to growth rate
Earnings declined 6.3%
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
3.2% earnings growth
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Weak financial health signals
Revenue declined 20.7%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : FOR
The strongest argument for FOR centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book.
Bull Case : FPH
The strongest argument for FPH centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 48.6% and operating margin at -58.5%.
Bear Case : FOR
The primary concerns for FOR are Market Cap, PEG Ratio, EPS Growth.
Bear Case : FPH
The primary concerns for FPH are EPS Growth, Market Cap, Piotroski F-Score.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
FOR profiles as a value stock while FPH is a declining play — different risk/reward profiles.
FOR carries more volatility with a beta of 1.41 — expect wider price swings.
FOR is growing revenue faster at 9.0% — sustainability is the question.
FPH generates stronger free cash flow (80M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
FPH scores higher overall (52/100 vs 48/100), backed by strong 48.6% margins. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Forestar Group Inc
REAL ESTATE · REAL ESTATE - DEVELOPMENT · USA
Forestar Group Inc. is a residential lot development company in the United States. The company is headquartered in Arlington, Texas.
Five Point Holdings LLC
REAL ESTATE · REAL ESTATE - DEVELOPMENT · USA
Five Point Holdings, LLC, through its subsidiary, Five Point Operating Company, LP, designs and develops planned and mixed-use communities in Orange, Los Angeles and San Francisco counties. The company is headquartered in Irvine, California.
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