WallStSmart

Greif Inc (GEF)vsPackaging Corp of America (PKG)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Packaging Corp of America generates 122% more annual revenue ($9.53B vs $4.30B). GEF leads profitability with a 24.7% profit margin vs 7.3%. GEF appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.77. GEF earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 72/100 (B).

GEF

Strong Buy

72

out of 100

Grade: B

Growth: 5.3Profit: 6.0Value: 5.3Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 2.41

PKG

Buy

52

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 4.0Profit: 6.0Value: 3.3Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 1/9Altman Z: 2.34
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

GEFOvervalued (-9.0%)

Margin of Safety

-9.0%

Fair Value

$69.48

Current Price

$82.32

$12.84 premium

UndervaluedFair: $69.48Overvalued
PKGSignificantly Overvalued (-89.6%)

Margin of Safety

-89.6%

Fair Value

$129.00

Current Price

$234.40

$105.40 premium

UndervaluedFair: $129.00Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

GEF4 strengths · Avg: 8.3/10
Profit MarginProfitability
24.7%9/10

Keeps 25 of every $100 in revenue as profit

PEG RatioValuation
0.778/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Price/BookValuation
1.6x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
43.4%8/10

Earnings expanding 43.4% YoY

PKG0 strengths · Avg: 0/10

No standout strengths identified

Areas to Watch

GEF3 concerns · Avg: 3.7/10
P/E RatioValuation
35.0x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Revenue GrowthGrowth
3.5%4/10

3.5% revenue growth

Return on EquityProfitability
7.2%3/10

ROE of 7.2% — below average capital efficiency

PKG4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.524/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

P/E RatioValuation
30.1x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Profit MarginProfitability
7.3%3/10

7.3% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
1/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : GEF

The strongest argument for GEF centers on Profit Margin, PEG Ratio, Price/Book. Profitability is solid with margins at 24.7% and operating margin at 10.6%. PEG of 0.77 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : PKG

Revenue growth of 14.7% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : GEF

The primary concerns for GEF are P/E Ratio, Revenue Growth, Return on Equity.

Bear Case : PKG

The primary concerns for PKG are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Profit Margin.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

PKG carries more volatility with a beta of 0.80 — expect wider price swings.

PKG is growing revenue faster at 14.7% — sustainability is the question.

PKG generates stronger free cash flow (170M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor PACKAGING & CONTAINERS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

GEF scores higher overall (72/100 vs 52/100), backed by strong 24.7% margins. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Greif Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA

Greif, Inc. produces and sells industrial packaging products and services worldwide. The company is headquartered in Delaware, Ohio.

Packaging Corp of America

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA

Packaging Corporation of America is an American manufacturing company based in Lake Forest, Illinois.

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