WallStSmart

Greif Bros Corporation (GEF)vsPackaging Corp of America (PKG)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Packaging Corp of America generates 116% more annual revenue ($9.22B vs $4.26B). GEF leads profitability with a 24.4% profit margin vs 8.0%. GEF appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.77. GEF earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 60/100 (C+).

GEF

Buy

60

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 2.0Profit: 6.0Value: 5.3Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 2.41

PKG

Buy

54

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 4.0Profit: 7.0Value: 5.0Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 1/9Altman Z: 2.34
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

GEFSignificantly Overvalued (-15.1%)

Margin of Safety

-15.1%

Fair Value

$65.77

Current Price

$63.59

$2.18 premium

UndervaluedFair: $65.77Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for PKG.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

GEF3 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.0x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Profit MarginProfitability
24.4%9/10

Keeps 24 of every $100 in revenue as profit

PEG RatioValuation
0.778/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

PKG0 strengths · Avg: 0/10

No standout strengths identified

Areas to Watch

GEF4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
P/E RatioValuation
28.3x4/10

Moderate valuation

Return on EquityProfitability
7.2%3/10

ROE of 7.2% — below average capital efficiency

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-0.5%2/10

Revenue declined 0.5%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-67.6%2/10

Earnings declined 67.6%

PKG4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.714/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

P/E RatioValuation
27.7x4/10

Moderate valuation

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
1/93/10

Weak financial health signals

EPS GrowthGrowth
-15.5%2/10

Earnings declined 15.5%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : GEF

The strongest argument for GEF centers on Price/Book, Profit Margin, PEG Ratio. Profitability is solid with margins at 24.4% and operating margin at 5.2%. PEG of 0.77 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : PKG

Revenue growth of 10.6% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : GEF

The primary concerns for GEF are P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Revenue Growth.

Bear Case : PKG

The primary concerns for PKG are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Piotroski F-Score.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

GEF profiles as a declining stock while PKG is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

PKG carries more volatility with a beta of 0.83 — expect wider price swings.

PKG is growing revenue faster at 10.6% — sustainability is the question.

PKG generates stronger free cash flow (165M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

GEF scores higher overall (60/100 vs 54/100), backed by strong 24.4% margins. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Greif Bros Corporation

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA

Greif, Inc. produces and sells industrial packaging products and services worldwide. The company is headquartered in Delaware, Ohio.

Packaging Corp of America

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA

Packaging Corporation of America is an American manufacturing company based in Lake Forest, Illinois.

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