WallStSmart

Warrior Met Coal Inc (HCC)vsVale SA ADR (VALE)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Vale SA ADR generates 14492% more annual revenue ($214.86B vs $1.47B). HCC leads profitability with a 9.3% profit margin vs 7.3%. VALE trades at a lower P/E of 22.9x. VALE earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 67/100 (B-).

HCC

Buy

61

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 7.3Profit: 6.0Value: 4.7Quality: 8.0
Piotroski: 1/9Altman Z: 3.72

VALE

Strong Buy

67

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 4.7Profit: 6.5Value: 8.7Quality: 4.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 1.31
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for HCC.

VALEUndervalued (+77.0%)

Margin of Safety

+77.0%

Fair Value

$75.65

Current Price

$15.23

$60.42 discount

UndervaluedFair: $75.65Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

HCC5 strengths · Avg: 9.4/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
54.0%10/10

Revenue surging 54.0% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
1918.0%10/10

Earnings expanding 1918.0% YoY

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.7210/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Debt/EquityHealth
0.129/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Price/BookValuation
2.4x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

VALE5 strengths · Avg: 8.6/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.3210/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Market CapQuality
$64.54B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Price/BookValuation
1.8x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
28.1%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 28.1%

EPS GrowthGrowth
22.0%8/10

Earnings expanding 22.0% YoY

Areas to Watch

HCC4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
37.6x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Return on EquityProfitability
6.2%3/10

ROE of 6.2% — below average capital efficiency

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
1/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-91.86M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

VALE4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
2.7%4/10

2.7% revenue growth

Return on EquityProfitability
7.6%3/10

ROE of 7.6% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
7.3%3/10

7.3% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : HCC

The strongest argument for HCC centers on Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Altman Z-Score. Revenue growth of 54.0% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : VALE

The strongest argument for VALE centers on PEG Ratio, Market Cap, Price/Book. PEG of 0.32 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : HCC

The primary concerns for HCC are P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Piotroski F-Score.

Bear Case : VALE

The primary concerns for VALE are Revenue Growth, Return on Equity, Profit Margin.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

HCC profiles as a hypergrowth stock while VALE is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

VALE carries more volatility with a beta of 0.72 — expect wider price swings.

HCC is growing revenue faster at 54.0% — sustainability is the question.

VALE generates stronger free cash flow (700M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

VALE scores higher overall (67/100 vs 61/100). Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Warrior Met Coal Inc

BASIC MATERIALS · COKING COAL · USA

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. produces and exports non-thermal metallurgical coal for the steel industry. The company is headquartered in Brookwood, Alabama.

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Vale SA ADR

BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA

Vale SA produces and sells iron ore and iron ore pellets for use as raw material in steelmaking in Brazil and internationally. The company is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

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