WallStSmart

Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN)vsTimken Company (TKR)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Timken Company generates 195% more annual revenue ($4.58B vs $1.55B). TKR leads profitability with a 6.3% profit margin vs 2.6%. TKR trades at a lower P/E of 24.6x. TKR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 53/100 (C-).

HLMN

Hold

48

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 8.0Profit: 5.0Value: 6.3Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.57

TKR

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 5.3Profit: 5.5Value: 7.3Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 2/9
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

HLMNOvervalued (-10.0%)

Margin of Safety

-10.0%

Fair Value

$9.36

Current Price

$8.42

$0.94 premium

UndervaluedFair: $9.36Overvalued
TKRSignificantly Overvalued (-289.3%)

Margin of Safety

-289.3%

Fair Value

$27.95

Current Price

$101.90

$73.95 premium

UndervaluedFair: $27.95Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

HLMN2 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.3x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
209.7%10/10

Earnings expanding 209.7% YoY

TKR1 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
Price/BookValuation
2.2x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

HLMN4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
4.5%4/10

4.5% revenue growth

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.574/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Market CapQuality
$1.66B3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Return on EquityProfitability
3.3%3/10

ROE of 3.3% — below average capital efficiency

TKR4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
3.5%4/10

3.5% revenue growth

Profit MarginProfitability
6.3%3/10

6.3% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

EPS GrowthGrowth
-11.8%2/10

Earnings declined 11.8%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : HLMN

The strongest argument for HLMN centers on Price/Book, EPS Growth.

Bull Case : TKR

The strongest argument for TKR centers on Price/Book. PEG of 1.36 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : HLMN

The primary concerns for HLMN are Revenue Growth, Altman Z-Score, Market Cap. A P/E of 42.1x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 2.6% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : TKR

The primary concerns for TKR are Revenue Growth, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

HLMN carries more volatility with a beta of 1.70 — expect wider price swings.

HLMN is growing revenue faster at 4.5% — sustainability is the question.

TKR generates stronger free cash flow (141M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor TOOLS & ACCESSORIES industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

TKR scores higher overall (53/100 vs 48/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Hillman Solutions Corp

INDUSTRIALS · TOOLS & ACCESSORIES · USA

Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN) is a leading provider of innovative hardware and home improvement solutions, focusing on fasteners, keys, plumbing products, and identification systems for both professional and retail markets. The company leverages advanced technology and an extensive distribution network to enhance operational efficiency and customer satisfaction. Hillman's dedication to continuous product innovation and strategic acquisitions positions it for long-term growth in an evolving competitive landscape. As consumer demand for convenience and accessibility rises, Hillman Solutions Corp is well-prepared to adapt and generate significant shareholder value.

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Timken Company

INDUSTRIALS · TOOLS & ACCESSORIES · USA

The Timken Company designs, manufactures and manages engineered bearings and power transmission products and services globally. The company is headquartered in North Canton, Ohio.

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