St Joe Company (JOE)vsSimon Property Group Inc (SPG)
JOE
St Joe Company
$63.07
+1.86%
REAL ESTATE · Cap: $3.46B
SPG
Simon Property Group Inc
$230.44
-2.19%
REAL ESTATE · Cap: $85.96B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Simon Property Group Inc generates 1183% more annual revenue ($6.65B vs $518.09M). SPG leads profitability with a 70.6% profit margin vs 21.6%. SPG trades at a lower P/E of 15.8x. SPG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 63/100 (C+).
JOE
Hold48
out of 100
Grade: D+
SPG
Buy63
out of 100
Grade: C+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-16.9%
Fair Value
$58.60
Current Price
$63.07
$4.47 premium
Margin of Safety
-26.8%
Fair Value
$153.57
Current Price
$230.44
$76.87 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Keeps 22 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Every $100 of equity generates 96 in profit
Keeps 71 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Strong operational efficiency at 43.4%
Large-cap with strong market position
Attractively priced relative to earnings
19.3% revenue growth
Areas to Watch
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Earnings declined 19.9%
Trading at 15.5x book value
Expensive relative to growth rate
Distress zone — elevated risk
Elevated debt levels
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : JOE
The strongest argument for JOE centers on Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 21.6% and operating margin at 18.3%.
Bull Case : SPG
The strongest argument for SPG centers on Return on Equity, Profit Margin, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 70.6% and operating margin at 43.4%. Revenue growth of 19.3% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : JOE
The primary concerns for JOE are P/E Ratio, EPS Growth.
Bear Case : SPG
The primary concerns for SPG are Price/Book, PEG Ratio, Altman Z-Score. Debt-to-equity of 5.96 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
JOE profiles as a mature stock while SPG is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
SPG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.33 — expect wider price swings.
SPG is growing revenue faster at 19.3% — sustainability is the question.
SPG generates stronger free cash flow (625M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
SPG scores higher overall (63/100 vs 48/100), backed by strong 70.6% margins and 19.3% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
St Joe Company
REAL ESTATE · REAL ESTATE - DIVERSIFIED · USA
The St. Joe Company is a real estate development, asset management and operation company in Northwest Florida, USA. The company is headquartered in Panama City Beach, Florida.
Simon Property Group Inc
REAL ESTATE · REIT - RETAIL · USA
Simon Property Group, Inc. is a real estate investment trust that invests in shopping malls, outlet centers, and community/lifestyle centers. It is the largest owner of shopping malls in the United States and is headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana.
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