Keurig Dr Pepper Inc (KDP)vsNatural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc (NGVC)
KDP
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc
$31.51
+2.91%
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · Cap: $42.13B
NGVC
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc
$30.08
-2.65%
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · Cap: $675.70M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc generates 1395% more annual revenue ($20.09B vs $1.34B). KDP leads profitability with a 7.1% profit margin vs 3.5%. KDP appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.96. KDP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 63/100 (C+).
KDP
Buy63
out of 100
Grade: C+
NGVC
Buy50
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+63.1%
Fair Value
$80.91
Current Price
$31.51
$49.40 discount
Margin of Safety
+19.6%
Fair Value
$30.75
Current Price
$30.08
$0.67 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Revenue surging 75.6% year-over-year
Growing faster than its price suggests
Reasonable price relative to book value
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Areas to Watch
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
ROE of 5.7% — below average capital efficiency
7.1% margin — thin
Elevated debt levels
1.8% revenue growth
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
3.5% margin — thin
Operating margin of 3.9%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : KDP
The strongest argument for KDP centers on Revenue Growth, PEG Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 75.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.96 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : NGVC
The strongest argument for NGVC centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book. PEG of 1.44 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : KDP
The primary concerns for KDP are P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Profit Margin.
Bear Case : NGVC
The primary concerns for NGVC are Revenue Growth, Market Cap, Profit Margin. Thin 3.5% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
KDP profiles as a hypergrowth stock while NGVC is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
NGVC carries more volatility with a beta of 1.25 — expect wider price swings.
KDP is growing revenue faster at 75.6% — sustainability is the question.
KDP generates stronger free cash flow (714M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
KDP scores higher overall (63/100 vs 50/100) and 75.6% revenue growth. NGVC offers better value entry with a 19.6% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · BEVERAGES - NON-ALCOHOLIC · USA
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. is a beverage company in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Burlington, Massachusetts.
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · GROCERY STORES · USA
Natural Grocers of Vitamin Cottage, Inc., sells natural and organic foods and dietary supplements in the United States. The company is headquartered in Lakewood, Colorado.
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