WallStSmart

Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT)vsZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Lockheed Martin Corporation generates 53% more annual revenue ($75.11B vs $49.10B). ZTO leads profitability with a 18.5% profit margin vs 6.4%. LMT appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.08. ZTO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 69/100 (B-).

LMT

Buy

55

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.5Value: 4.7Quality: 4.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 2.09

ZTO

Strong Buy

69

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 6.7Profit: 7.0Value: 8.0Quality: 7.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 2.74
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

LMTSignificantly Overvalued (-37.4%)

Margin of Safety

-37.4%

Fair Value

$457.50

Current Price

$517.97

$60.47 premium

UndervaluedFair: $457.50Overvalued
ZTOUndervalued (+81.2%)

Margin of Safety

+81.2%

Fair Value

$132.23

Current Price

$25.37

$106.86 discount

UndervaluedFair: $132.23Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

LMT2 strengths · Avg: 9.5/10
Return on EquityProfitability
67.6%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 68 in profit

Market CapQuality
$119.43B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

ZTO5 strengths · Avg: 8.6/10
Free Cash FlowQuality
$11.97B10/10

Generating 12.0B in free cash flow

Debt/EquityHealth
0.199/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

P/E RatioValuation
15.5x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
2.1x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
22.3%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 22.3%

Areas to Watch

LMT4 concerns · Avg: 3.8/10
P/E RatioValuation
25.1x4/10

Moderate valuation

Price/BookValuation
15.9x4/10

Trading at 15.9x book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
0.3%4/10

0.3% revenue growth

Profit MarginProfitability
6.4%3/10

6.4% margin — thin

ZTO0 concerns · Avg: 0/10

No major concerns identified

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : LMT

The strongest argument for LMT centers on Return on Equity, Market Cap. PEG of 1.08 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : ZTO

The strongest argument for ZTO centers on Free Cash Flow, Debt/Equity, P/E Ratio. Profitability is solid with margins at 18.5% and operating margin at 22.3%. Revenue growth of 12.3% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : LMT

The primary concerns for LMT are P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Revenue Growth. Debt-to-equity of 3.23 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : ZTO

No major red flags identified for ZTO, but monitor valuation.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

LMT profiles as a value stock while ZTO is a mature play — different risk/reward profiles.

LMT carries more volatility with a beta of 0.24 — expect wider price swings.

ZTO is growing revenue faster at 12.3% — sustainability is the question.

ZTO generates stronger free cash flow (12.0B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

ZTO scores higher overall (69/100 vs 55/100), backed by strong 18.5% margins and 12.3% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Lockheed Martin Corporation

INDUSTRIALS · AEROSPACE & DEFENSE · USA

Lockheed Martin Corporation is an American aerospace, defense, information security, and technology company with worldwide interests. It is headquartered in North Bethesda, Maryland, in the Washington, D.C., area.

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ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · China

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

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