ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc stock (ZTO) is currently trading at $24.32. ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc PE ratio is 15.60. ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.39. Analyst consensus price target for ZTO is $27.91. WallStSmart rates ZTO as Buy.
- ZTO PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- ZTO PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- ZTO intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- ZTO stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- ZTO fair value vs current price
- ZTO insider transactions and insider buying
- Is ZTO undervalued or overvalued?
- ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- ZTO Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- ZTO analyst price target and Smart Rating
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
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ZTO Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)
ZTO trades at a significant discount to its Graham intrinsic value of $75.82, offering a 67% margin of safety — a level value investors typically seek before buying.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in market cap, peg ratio, operating margin. Concerns around institutional own.. Overall metrics suggest strong investment potential with favorable risk/reward.
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO) Key Strengths (7)
Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue
Earnings per share surging 791.00% year-over-year
Large-cap company with substantial market presence
Good growth relative to its price
Strong operational efficiency: $22 kept per $100 revenue
Trading at 1.98x book value, attractively priced
Strong profitability: $19 kept per $100 revenue
Supporting Valuation Data
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO) Areas to Watch (3)
Very low institutional interest at 12.17%
Moderate profitability with room for improvement
Solid revenue growth at 12.30% per year
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 76/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a B+ grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 7 register as strengths (avg 8.7/10) while 3 fall into concern territory (avg 4.3/10). All four categories (Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality) show healthy scores, indicating broadly sound fundamentals.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Price/Sales, EPS Growth, Market Cap. Valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (1.25), Price/Sales (0.39), Price/Book (1.98) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Operating Margin at 22.00%, Profit Margin at 18.50%. Growth metrics are encouraging with EPS Growth at 791.00%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Institutional Own., Return on Equity, Revenue Growth. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 12.30%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 14.20%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Institutional Own. improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 14.20% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 12.30% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate risk investment. The weight of evidence leans positive, with more strengths than concerns. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
The combination of Price/Sales and EPS Growth makes a compelling case at current levels. The key risk is Institutional Own., but the overall fundamental picture is positive with a clear path to maintaining or improving the current B+ grade.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
ZTO Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
ZTO's Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.39x trades 45% below its historical average of 0.71x (17th percentile). The current valuation is 71% below its historical high of 1.35x set in Jun 2020, and 23% above its historical low of 0.32x in Oct 2025.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO) · INDUSTRIALS › INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS
The Big Picture
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc is a mature, profitable business with steady cash generation. Revenue reached 49.1B with 12% growth year-over-year. Profit margins of 18.5% are healthy, with room for further expansion as the business scales.
Key Findings
Generating 7.7B in free cash flow and 7.7B in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.
Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19 indicates a conservative balance sheet with 9.4B in cash.
What to Watch Next
Sector dynamics: monitor INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.
Bottom Line
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc is a well-established business delivering consistent profitability with 18.5% margins. The growth phase may be slowing, but strong cash generation and operational efficiency make it suitable for investors seeking reliability over excitement.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings
Last updated: 11:29:04 AM
About ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc(ZTO)
NYSE
INDUSTRIALS
INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS
China
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.