WallStSmart

LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB)vsOrigin Materials Inc (ORGN)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

LyondellBasell Industries NV generates 159254% more annual revenue ($30.15B vs $18.92M). ORGN leads profitability with a 0.0% profit margin vs -2.5%. ORGN earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 41/100 (D).

LYB

Hold

40

out of 100

Grade: D

Growth: 2.0Profit: 2.5Value: 6.3Quality: 5.0

ORGN

Hold

41

out of 100

Grade: D

Growth: 7.3Profit: 2.5Value: 5.0Quality: 5.0
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

LYBUndervalued (+33.7%)

Margin of Safety

+33.7%

Fair Value

$89.72

Current Price

$74.99

$14.73 discount

UndervaluedFair: $89.72Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for ORGN.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

LYB1 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
Price/BookValuation
2.4x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

ORGN2 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Price/BookValuation
0.1x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
266.7%10/10

Earnings expanding 266.7% YoY

Areas to Watch

LYB4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.534/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Return on EquityProfitability
-7.0%2/10

ROE of -7.0% — below average capital efficiency

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-9.2%2/10

Revenue declined 9.2%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-87.7%2/10

Earnings declined 87.7%

ORGN4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Market CapQuality
$13.45M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Profit MarginProfitability
0.0%3/10

0.0% margin — thin

Return on EquityProfitability
-112.8%2/10

ROE of -112.8% — below average capital efficiency

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-67.2%2/10

Revenue declined 67.2%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : LYB

The strongest argument for LYB centers on Price/Book.

Bull Case : ORGN

The strongest argument for ORGN centers on Price/Book, EPS Growth.

Bear Case : LYB

The primary concerns for LYB are PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, Revenue Growth.

Bear Case : ORGN

The primary concerns for ORGN are Market Cap, Profit Margin, Return on Equity.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

LYB profiles as a turnaround stock while ORGN is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

ORGN carries more volatility with a beta of 1.23 — expect wider price swings.

LYB is growing revenue faster at -9.2% — sustainability is the question.

ORGN generates stronger free cash flow (-18M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

ORGN scores higher overall (41/100 vs 40/100). LYB offers better value entry with a 33.7% margin of safety. Both earn "Hold" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

LyondellBasell Industries NV

BASIC MATERIALS · SPECIALTY CHEMICALS · USA

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (NYSE: LYB) is a Dutch-domiciled multinational chemical company with American and British roots, incorporated in the Netherlands, with U.S. operations headquarters in Houston, Texas, and offices in London, UK. The company is the largest licensor of polyethylene and polypropylene technologies. It also produces ethylene, propylene, polyolefins, and oxyfuels.

Origin Materials Inc

BASIC MATERIALS · CHEMICALS · USA

Origen Financial, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) in the United States. The company is headquartered in Southfield, Michigan.

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