WallStSmart

Molina Healthcare Inc (MOH)vsNovartis AG ADR (NVS)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Novartis AG ADR generates 31% more annual revenue ($56.58B vs $43.10B). NVS leads profitability with a 23.9% profit margin vs 0.4%. MOH appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.78. NVS earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 51/100 (C-).

MOH

Hold

44

out of 100

Grade: D

Growth: 4.0Profit: 4.0Value: 3.7Quality: 7.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 4.01

NVS

Buy

51

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 9.0Value: 4.0Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.96
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for MOH.

NVSSignificantly Overvalued (-52.5%)

Margin of Safety

-52.5%

Fair Value

$109.60

Current Price

$147.85

$38.25 premium

UndervaluedFair: $109.60Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

MOH3 strengths · Avg: 8.7/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
4.0110/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Price/BookValuation
2.5x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.05B8/10

Generating 1.1B in free cash flow

NVS5 strengths · Avg: 9.4/10
Market CapQuality
$282.11B10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Return on EquityProfitability
34.9%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 35 in profit

Operating MarginProfitability
30.5%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 30.5%

Profit MarginProfitability
23.9%9/10

Keeps 24 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Free Cash FlowQuality
$2.87B8/10

Generating 2.9B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

MOH4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.784/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Return on EquityProfitability
4.5%3/10

ROE of 4.5% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
0.4%3/10

0.4% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
1.7%3/10

Operating margin of 1.7%

NVS4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.484/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.964/10

Grey zone — moderate risk

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-0.7%2/10

Revenue declined 0.7%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-9.3%2/10

Earnings declined 9.3%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : MOH

The strongest argument for MOH centers on Altman Z-Score, Price/Book, Free Cash Flow.

Bull Case : NVS

The strongest argument for NVS centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 23.9% and operating margin at 30.5%.

Bear Case : MOH

The primary concerns for MOH are PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. A P/E of 52.7x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 0.4% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : NVS

The primary concerns for NVS are PEG Ratio, Altman Z-Score, Revenue Growth.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

MOH profiles as a value stock while NVS is a declining play — different risk/reward profiles.

MOH carries more volatility with a beta of 0.55 — expect wider price swings.

NVS is growing revenue faster at -0.7% — sustainability is the question.

NVS generates stronger free cash flow (2.9B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

NVS scores higher overall (51/100 vs 44/100), backed by strong 23.9% margins. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Molina Healthcare Inc

HEALTHCARE · HEALTHCARE PLANS · USA

Molina Healthcare, Inc. provides managed care services to low-income individuals and families under the Medicaid and Medicare programs and through the state insurance marketplaces. The company is headquartered in Long Beach, California.

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Novartis AG ADR

HEALTHCARE · DRUG MANUFACTURERS - GENERAL · USA

Novartis AG researches, develops, manufactures and markets medical devices worldwide. The company is headquartered in Basel, Switzerland.

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