WallStSmart

MP Materials Corp (MP)vsOlin Corporation (OLN)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Olin Corporation generates 1510% more annual revenue ($6.70B vs $416.25M). OLN leads profitability with a -2.9% profit margin vs -14.6%. OLN earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 37/100 (F).

MP

Avoid

30

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 4.7Profit: 2.0Value: 4.0Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.51

OLN

Hold

37

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 2.0Profit: 3.0Value: 4.0Quality: 4.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 1.64
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

MPSignificantly Overvalued (-22.9%)

Margin of Safety

-22.9%

Fair Value

$44.19

Current Price

$50.51

$6.32 premium

UndervaluedFair: $44.19Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for OLN.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

MP1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
119.7%10/10

Revenue surging 119.7% year-over-year

OLN1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.1x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

MP4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.514/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Return on EquityProfitability
-3.0%2/10

ROE of -3.0% — below average capital efficiency

EPS GrowthGrowth
-55.6%2/10

Earnings declined 55.6%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-223.49M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

OLN4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.644/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Market CapQuality
$1.98B3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Operating MarginProfitability
4.0%3/10

Operating margin of 4.0%

Debt/EquityHealth
1.993/10

Elevated debt levels

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : MP

The strongest argument for MP centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 119.7% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : OLN

The strongest argument for OLN centers on Price/Book.

Bear Case : MP

The primary concerns for MP are Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity, EPS Growth.

Bear Case : OLN

The primary concerns for OLN are Altman Z-Score, Market Cap, Operating Margin. Debt-to-equity of 1.99 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

MP profiles as a hypergrowth stock while OLN is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.

MP carries more volatility with a beta of 1.95 — expect wider price swings.

MP is growing revenue faster at 119.7% — sustainability is the question.

OLN generates stronger free cash flow (-21M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

OLN scores higher overall (37/100 vs 30/100). Both earn "Hold" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

MP Materials Corp

BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA

MP Materials Corp. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Olin Corporation

BASIC MATERIALS · CHEMICALS · USA

Olin Corporation manufactures and distributes chemical products in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Clayton, Missouri.

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