WallStSmart

MP Materials Corp (MP)vsOlin Corporation (OLN)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Olin Corporation generates 1833% more annual revenue ($6.72B vs $347.57M). OLN leads profitability with a -2.8% profit margin vs -20.5%. OLN earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 37/100 (F).

MP

Avoid

28

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 4.7Profit: 2.0Value: 4.0Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.53

OLN

Hold

37

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 2.0Profit: 2.5Value: 4.0Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.69
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

MPSignificantly Overvalued (-55.4%)

Margin of Safety

-55.4%

Fair Value

$37.03

Current Price

$65.45

$28.42 premium

UndervaluedFair: $37.03Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for OLN.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

MP1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
118.6%10/10

Revenue surging 118.6% year-over-year

OLN1 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.6x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

MP4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.534/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Return on EquityProfitability
-3.0%2/10

ROE of -3.0% — below average capital efficiency

EPS GrowthGrowth
-55.6%2/10

Earnings declined 55.6%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-79.28M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

OLN4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.694/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Debt/EquityHealth
1.873/10

Elevated debt levels

PEG RatioValuation
7.052/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Return on EquityProfitability
-7.3%2/10

ROE of -7.3% — below average capital efficiency

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : MP

The strongest argument for MP centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 118.6% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : OLN

The strongest argument for OLN centers on Price/Book.

Bear Case : MP

The primary concerns for MP are Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity, EPS Growth.

Bear Case : OLN

The primary concerns for OLN are Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio. Debt-to-equity of 1.87 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

MP profiles as a hypergrowth stock while OLN is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.

MP carries more volatility with a beta of 1.84 — expect wider price swings.

MP is growing revenue faster at 118.6% — sustainability is the question.

MP generates stronger free cash flow (-79M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

OLN scores higher overall (37/100 vs 28/100). Both earn "Hold" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

MP Materials Corp

BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA

MP Materials Corp. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Olin Corporation

BASIC MATERIALS · CHEMICALS · USA

Olin Corporation manufactures and distributes chemical products in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Clayton, Missouri.

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