WallStSmart

MP Materials Corp (MP)vsOsisko Gold Ro (OR)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

MP Materials Corp generates 15% more annual revenue ($416.25M vs $362.74M). OR leads profitability with a 78.0% profit margin vs -14.6%. OR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 69/100 (B-).

MP

Avoid

30

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 4.7Profit: 2.0Value: 4.7Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.51

OR

Strong Buy

69

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 10.0Profit: 9.0Value: 4.3Quality: 8.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 6.48
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

MPOvervalued (-13.3%)

Margin of Safety

-13.3%

Fair Value

$44.14

Current Price

$51.08

$6.94 premium

UndervaluedFair: $44.14Overvalued
ORSignificantly Overvalued (-69.9%)

Margin of Safety

-69.9%

Fair Value

$25.82

Current Price

$37.55

$11.73 premium

UndervaluedFair: $25.82Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

MP1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
119.7%10/10

Revenue surging 119.7% year-over-year

OR6 strengths · Avg: 9.8/10
Profit MarginProfitability
78.0%10/10

Keeps 78 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
77.0%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 77.0%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
62.0%10/10

Revenue surging 62.0% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
92.4%10/10

Earnings expanding 92.4% YoY

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
6.4810/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Debt/EquityHealth
0.159/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Areas to Watch

MP4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.514/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Return on EquityProfitability
-3.0%2/10

ROE of -3.0% — below average capital efficiency

EPS GrowthGrowth
-55.6%2/10

Earnings declined 55.6%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-223.49M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

OR1 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
Free Cash FlowQuality
$-199.72M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : MP

The strongest argument for MP centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 119.7% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : OR

The strongest argument for OR centers on Profit Margin, Operating Margin, Revenue Growth. Profitability is solid with margins at 78.0% and operating margin at 77.0%. Revenue growth of 62.0% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : MP

The primary concerns for MP are Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity, EPS Growth.

Bear Case : OR

The primary concerns for OR are Free Cash Flow.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

MP profiles as a hypergrowth stock while OR is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

MP carries more volatility with a beta of 1.95 — expect wider price swings.

MP is growing revenue faster at 119.7% — sustainability is the question.

OR generates stronger free cash flow (-200M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

OR scores higher overall (69/100 vs 30/100), backed by strong 78.0% margins and 62.0% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

MP Materials Corp

BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA

MP Materials Corp. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Osisko Gold Ro

BASIC MATERIALS · GOLD · USA

Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd acquires and manages precious metals and other royalties, transfers and acquisitions and other interests in Canada and internationally. The company is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.

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