WallStSmart

MP Materials Corp (MP)vsRoyal Gold Inc (RGLD)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Royal Gold Inc generates 271% more annual revenue ($1.02B vs $275.46M). RGLD leads profitability with a 45.6% profit margin vs -31.2%. RGLD earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 65/100 (B-).

MP

Avoid

28

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 4.7Profit: 2.0Value: 5.0Quality: 7.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.13

RGLD

Strong Buy

65

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 7.3Profit: 8.0Value: 6.0Quality: 7.3
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 8.52
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for MP.

RGLDUndervalued (+27.0%)

Margin of Safety

+27.0%

Fair Value

$390.60

Current Price

$233.38

$157.22 discount

UndervaluedFair: $390.60Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

MP1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
70.0%10/10

Revenue surging 70.0% year-over-year

RGLD5 strengths · Avg: 9.6/10
Profit MarginProfitability
45.6%10/10

Keeps 46 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
60.2%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 60.2%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
86.1%10/10

Revenue surging 86.1% year-over-year

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
8.5210/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Price/BookValuation
2.8x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

MP4 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
-5.0%2/10

ROE of -5.0% — below average capital efficiency

EPS GrowthGrowth
-55.6%2/10

Earnings declined 55.6%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-109.26M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.132/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

RGLD2 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
34.6x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

EPS GrowthGrowth
-28.9%2/10

Earnings declined 28.9%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : MP

The strongest argument for MP centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 70.0% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : RGLD

The strongest argument for RGLD centers on Profit Margin, Operating Margin, Revenue Growth. Profitability is solid with margins at 45.6% and operating margin at 60.2%. Revenue growth of 86.1% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : MP

The primary concerns for MP are Return on Equity, EPS Growth, Free Cash Flow.

Bear Case : RGLD

The primary concerns for RGLD are P/E Ratio, EPS Growth.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

MP profiles as a hypergrowth stock while RGLD is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

MP carries more volatility with a beta of 1.68 — expect wider price swings.

RGLD is growing revenue faster at 86.1% — sustainability is the question.

RGLD generates stronger free cash flow (241M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

RGLD scores higher overall (65/100 vs 28/100), backed by strong 45.6% margins and 86.1% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

MP Materials Corp

BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA

MP Materials Corp. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Royal Gold Inc

BASIC MATERIALS · GOLD · USA

Royal Gold, Inc., acquires and manages precious metal flows, royalties and related interests. The company is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.

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