Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC)vsUltrapar Participacoes SA ADR (UGP)
MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corp
$232.53
-1.38%
ENERGY · Cap: $68.82B
UGP
Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR
$4.91
-3.73%
ENERGY · Cap: $5.40B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR generates 7% more annual revenue ($142.37B vs $133.17B). MPC leads profitability with a 3.0% profit margin vs 1.7%. UGP appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.78. MPC earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 63/100 (C+).
MPC
Buy63
out of 100
Grade: C+
UGP
Buy53
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+66.3%
Fair Value
$618.23
Current Price
$232.53
$385.70 discount
Margin of Safety
-75.6%
Fair Value
$2.99
Current Price
$4.91
$1.92 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Earnings expanding 350.7% YoY
Large-cap with strong market position
Every $100 of equity generates 24 in profit
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Generating 1.9B in free cash flow
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Growing faster than its price suggests
Reasonable price relative to book value
Generating 1.1B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
3.0% margin — thin
Elevated debt levels
Revenue declined 120.0%
1.7% margin — thin
Operating margin of 3.1%
Weak financial health signals
Earnings declined 59.5%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : MPC
The strongest argument for MPC centers on EPS Growth, Market Cap, Return on Equity. PEG of 1.27 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : UGP
The strongest argument for UGP centers on P/E Ratio, Altman Z-Score, PEG Ratio. PEG of 0.78 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : MPC
The primary concerns for MPC are Profit Margin, Debt/Equity, Revenue Growth. Thin 3.0% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Bear Case : UGP
The primary concerns for UGP are Profit Margin, Operating Margin, Piotroski F-Score. Thin 1.7% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
MPC carries more volatility with a beta of 0.71 — expect wider price swings.
UGP is growing revenue faster at 7.2% — sustainability is the question.
MPC generates stronger free cash flow (1.9B), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
MPC scores higher overall (63/100 vs 53/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Marathon Petroleum Corp
ENERGY · OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING · USA
Marathon Petroleum Corporation is an American petroleum refining, marketing, and transportation company headquartered in Findlay, Ohio.
Visit Website →Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR
ENERGY · OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING · USA
Ultrapar Participaes SA is engaged in the gas distribution, fuel distribution, chemical products, storage and pharmacy businesses mainly in Brazil, Mexico, Uruguay, Venezuela, other Latin American countries, the United States, Canada, the Far East, Europe and internationally. The company is headquartered in So Paulo, Brazil.
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