WallStSmart

Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC)vsUltrapar Participacoes SA ADR (UGP)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Marathon Petroleum Corp generates 1% more annual revenue ($154.15B vs $153.26B). MPC leads profitability with a 5.5% profit margin vs 2.3%. UGP appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.78. MPC earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 73/100 (B).

MPC

Strong Buy

73

out of 100

Grade: B

Growth: 7.3Profit: 7.0Value: 5.3Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 2.83

UGP

Strong Buy

66

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 6.7Profit: 7.0Value: 7.7Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 3.98
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

MPCOvervalued (-6.2%)

Margin of Safety

-6.2%

Fair Value

$196.50

Current Price

$424.89

$228.39 premium

UndervaluedFair: $196.50Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for UGP.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

MPC6 strengths · Avg: 9.2/10
Return on EquityProfitability
44.8%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 45 in profit

Revenue GrowthGrowth
53.7%10/10

Revenue surging 53.7% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
348.0%10/10

Earnings expanding 348.0% YoY

Market CapQuality
$111.19B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

P/E RatioValuation
13.6x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Free Cash FlowQuality
$9.14B8/10

Generating 9.1B in free cash flow

UGP6 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
11.6x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
90.7%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 91 in profit

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.9810/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

PEG RatioValuation
0.788/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Price/BookValuation
2.5x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
21.9%8/10

Revenue surging 21.9% year-over-year

Areas to Watch

MPC3 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.904/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Profit MarginProfitability
5.5%3/10

5.5% margin — thin

Debt/EquityHealth
1.803/10

Elevated debt levels

UGP2 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Profit MarginProfitability
2.3%3/10

2.3% margin — thin

Debt/EquityHealth
1.093/10

Elevated debt levels

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : MPC

The strongest argument for MPC centers on Return on Equity, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 53.7% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : UGP

The strongest argument for UGP centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Altman Z-Score. Revenue growth of 21.9% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.78 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : MPC

The primary concerns for MPC are PEG Ratio, Profit Margin, Debt/Equity. Debt-to-equity of 1.80 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : UGP

The primary concerns for UGP are Profit Margin, Debt/Equity. Thin 2.3% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

MPC profiles as a hypergrowth stock while UGP is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

MPC carries more volatility with a beta of 0.53 — expect wider price swings.

MPC is growing revenue faster at 53.7% — sustainability is the question.

MPC generates stronger free cash flow (9.1B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

MPC scores higher overall (73/100 vs 66/100) and 53.7% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Marathon Petroleum Corp

ENERGY · OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING · USA

Marathon Petroleum Corporation is an American petroleum refining, marketing, and transportation company headquartered in Findlay, Ohio.

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Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR

ENERGY · OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING · USA

Ultrapar Participaes SA is engaged in the gas distribution, fuel distribution, chemical products, storage and pharmacy businesses mainly in Brazil, Mexico, Uruguay, Venezuela, other Latin American countries, the United States, Canada, the Far East, Europe and internationally. The company is headquartered in So Paulo, Brazil.

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