Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR (UGP) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR stock (UGP) is currently trading at $5.41. Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR PE ratio is 12.00. Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.04. Analyst consensus price target for UGP is $5.27. WallStSmart rates UGP as Underperform.
- UGP PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- UGP PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- UGP intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- UGP stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- UGP fair value vs current price
- UGP insider transactions and insider buying
- Is UGP undervalued or overvalued?
- Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- UGP Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- UGP analyst price target and Smart Rating
Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR
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UGP Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR (UGP)
UGP trades 76% above its Graham fair value of $2.99, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR (UGP) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in peg ratio, price/sales, price/book. Concerns around operating margin and eps growth. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.
Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR (UGP) Key Strengths (5)
Growing significantly faster than its price suggests
Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue
Trading at 1.92x book value, attractively priced
Mid-cap company balancing growth potential with stability
Solid profitability: $16 profit per $100 equity
Supporting Valuation Data
Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR (UGP) Areas to Watch (5)
Earnings declining -59.50%, profits shrinking
Near-zero operating margins, business under pressure
Very thin margins, barely profitable
Very low institutional interest at 5.99%
Modest revenue growth at 7.20%
Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR (UGP) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 53/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C- grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 5 register as strengths (avg 8.4/10) while 5 fall into concern territory (avg 1.8/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on PEG Ratio, Price/Sales, Price/Book. Valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (0.78), Price/Sales (0.04), Price/Book (1.92) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 16.40%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are EPS Growth, Operating Margin, Profit Margin. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 7.20%, EPS Growth at -59.50%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Operating Margin at 3.09%, Profit Margin at 1.72%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether EPS Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 16.40% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 7.20% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. Strengths and concerns are roughly balanced. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Mixed fundamentals with both positives (PEG Ratio, Price/Sales) and negatives (EPS Growth, Operating Margin). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
UGP Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
UGP's Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.04x trades at a deep discount to its historical average of 1.05x (3th percentile). The current valuation is 99% below its historical high of 4.46x set in Jun 2007, and -1% above its historical low of 0.04x in Mar 2026.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR (UGP) · ENERGY › OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING
The Big Picture
Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR operates as a stable business with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. Revenue reached 142.4B with 7% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 1.7%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.
Key Findings
Generating 1.1B in free cash flow and 1.7B in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.
What to Watch Next
Margin expansion: can Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?
Dividend sustainability with a current yield of 6.0%. Watch payout ratio and free cash flow coverage.
Sector dynamics: monitor OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR.
Bottom Line
Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR offers stability with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. The valuation may present an opportunity for patient investors, though limited growth means returns will likely come from dividends and modest capital appreciation rather than explosive gains.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings
Last updated: 10:07:11 AM
About Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR(UGP)
NYSE
ENERGY
OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING
USA
Ultrapar Participaes SA is engaged in the gas distribution, fuel distribution, chemical products, storage and pharmacy businesses mainly in Brazil, Mexico, Uruguay, Venezuela, other Latin American countries, the United States, Canada, the Far East, Europe and internationally. The company is headquartered in So Paulo, Brazil.