WallStSmart

Energy Vault Holdings Inc (NRGV)vsVistra Energy Corp (VST)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Vistra Energy Corp generates 8609% more annual revenue ($17.74B vs $203.67M). VST leads profitability with a 5.3% profit margin vs -50.9%. VST earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 53/100 (C-).

NRGV

Avoid

30

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 7.3Profit: 2.0Value: 6.7Quality: 3.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: -1.72

VST

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.0Value: 3.3Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.73
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

NRGVUndervalued (+39.9%)

Margin of Safety

+39.9%

Fair Value

$6.75

Current Price

$4.12

$2.63 discount

UndervaluedFair: $6.75Overvalued
VSTSignificantly Overvalued (-54.4%)

Margin of Safety

-54.4%

Fair Value

$100.34

Current Price

$157.84

$57.50 premium

UndervaluedFair: $100.34Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

NRGV1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
358.0%10/10

Revenue surging 358.0% year-over-year

VST1 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Market CapQuality
$53.44B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Areas to Watch

NRGV4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
Price/BookValuation
10.3x4/10

Trading at 10.3x book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
0.0%4/10

0.0% earnings growth

Market CapQuality
$774.95M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

VST4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Profit MarginProfitability
5.3%3/10

5.3% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

P/E RatioValuation
72.4x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Price/BookValuation
20.4x2/10

Trading at 20.4x book value

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : NRGV

The strongest argument for NRGV centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 358.0% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : VST

The strongest argument for VST centers on Market Cap. Revenue growth of 13.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.36 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : NRGV

The primary concerns for NRGV are Price/Book, EPS Growth, Market Cap.

Bear Case : VST

The primary concerns for VST are Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 72.4x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 3.36 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

NRGV profiles as a hypergrowth stock while VST is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

VST carries more volatility with a beta of 1.50 — expect wider price swings.

NRGV is growing revenue faster at 358.0% — sustainability is the question.

NRGV generates stronger free cash flow (-17M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

VST scores higher overall (53/100 vs 30/100) and 13.6% revenue growth. NRGV offers better value entry with a 39.9% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Energy Vault Holdings Inc

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - RENEWABLE · USA

Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. develops and sells energy storage solutions. The company is headquartered in Westlake Village, California.

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Vistra Energy Corp

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

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