WallStSmart

Penske Automotive Group Inc (PAG)vsProgressive Corp (PGR)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Progressive Corp generates 182% more annual revenue ($89.42B vs $31.72B). PGR leads profitability with a 12.9% profit margin vs 2.9%. PAG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 2.09. PGR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 61/100 (C+).

PAG

Buy

51

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 2.7Profit: 5.5Value: 5.3Quality: 4.3
Piotroski: 4/9

PGR

Buy

61

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 7.3Profit: 7.5Value: 5.7Quality: 5.3
Piotroski: 4/9
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

PAGFair Value (-1.7%)

Margin of Safety

-1.7%

Fair Value

$170.26

Current Price

$173.81

$3.55 premium

UndervaluedFair: $170.26Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for PGR.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

PAG2 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
12.3x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
2.1x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

PGR4 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
P/E RatioValuation
9.9x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
37.9%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 38 in profit

Market CapQuality
$113.36B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Free Cash FlowQuality
$4.30B8/10

Generating 4.3B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

PAG4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.094/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Profit MarginProfitability
2.9%3/10

2.9% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
3.7%3/10

Operating margin of 3.7%

Debt/EquityHealth
1.563/10

Elevated debt levels

PGR1 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
30.202/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : PAG

The strongest argument for PAG centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book.

Bull Case : PGR

The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap.

Bear Case : PAG

The primary concerns for PAG are PEG Ratio, Profit Margin, Operating Margin. Debt-to-equity of 1.56 is elevated, increasing financial risk. Thin 2.9% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : PGR

The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

PAG carries more volatility with a beta of 0.89 — expect wider price swings.

PGR is growing revenue faster at 8.7% — sustainability is the question.

PGR generates stronger free cash flow (4.3B), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor AUTO & TRUCK DEALERSHIPS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

PGR scores higher overall (61/100 vs 51/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Penske Automotive Group Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · AUTO & TRUCK DEALERSHIPS · USA

Penske Automotive Group, Inc., a diversified transportation services company, operates commercial and automotive truck dealerships. The company is headquartered in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan.

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Progressive Corp

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA

The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.

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