WallStSmart

Public Service Enterprise Group Inc (PEG)vsVistra Energy Corp (VST)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Vistra Energy Corp generates 46% more annual revenue ($17.74B vs $12.17B). PEG leads profitability with a 17.3% profit margin vs 5.3%. VST appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.36. PEG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 64/100 (C+).

PEG

Buy

64

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 6.7Profit: 7.0Value: 4.0Quality: 3.8
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 0.95

VST

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.0Value: 3.3Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.73
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

PEGSignificantly Overvalued (-48.1%)

Margin of Safety

-48.1%

Fair Value

$56.80

Current Price

$81.66

$24.86 premium

UndervaluedFair: $56.80Overvalued
VSTSignificantly Overvalued (-54.4%)

Margin of Safety

-54.4%

Fair Value

$100.34

Current Price

$157.84

$57.50 premium

UndervaluedFair: $100.34Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

PEG2 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
Price/BookValuation
2.4x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
18.3%8/10

18.3% revenue growth

VST1 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Market CapQuality
$53.44B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Areas to Watch

PEG3 concerns · Avg: 2.7/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.434/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-408.00M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
0.952/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

VST4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Profit MarginProfitability
5.3%3/10

5.3% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

P/E RatioValuation
72.4x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Price/BookValuation
20.4x2/10

Trading at 20.4x book value

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : PEG

The strongest argument for PEG centers on Price/Book, Revenue Growth. Profitability is solid with margins at 17.3% and operating margin at 18.1%. Revenue growth of 18.3% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : VST

The strongest argument for VST centers on Market Cap. Revenue growth of 13.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.36 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : PEG

The primary concerns for PEG are PEG Ratio, Free Cash Flow, Altman Z-Score.

Bear Case : VST

The primary concerns for VST are Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 72.4x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 3.36 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

PEG profiles as a growth stock while VST is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

VST carries more volatility with a beta of 1.50 — expect wider price swings.

PEG is growing revenue faster at 18.3% — sustainability is the question.

VST generates stronger free cash flow (-82M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

PEG scores higher overall (64/100 vs 53/100), backed by strong 17.3% margins and 18.3% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Public Service Enterprise Group Inc

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - REGULATED ELECTRIC · USA

The Public Service Enterprise Group (PSEG) is a publicly traded diversified energy company headquartered in Newark, New Jersey.

Vistra Energy Corp

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

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