Progressive Corp (PGR)vsTarget Corporation (TGT)
PGR
Progressive Corp
$202.84
-1.63%
FINANCIAL SERVICES · Cap: $120.67B
TGT
Target Corporation
$116.37
+0.39%
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · Cap: $52.70B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Target Corporation generates 20% more annual revenue ($104.78B vs $87.64B). PGR leads profitability with a 12.9% profit margin vs 3.5%. TGT appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 3.22. PGR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 67/100 (B-).
PGR
Strong Buy67
out of 100
Grade: B-
TGT
Hold46
out of 100
Grade: D+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+76.9%
Fair Value
$900.43
Current Price
$202.84
$697.59 discount
Margin of Safety
-107.3%
Fair Value
$55.28
Current Price
$116.37
$61.09 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Every $100 of equity generates 41 in profit
Large-cap with strong market position
Earnings expanding 25.2% YoY
Generating 3.0B in free cash flow
Large-cap with strong market position
Every $100 of equity generates 24 in profit
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Generating 2.3B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
3.5% margin — thin
Operating margin of 4.9%
Expensive relative to growth rate
Revenue declined 1.5%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : PGR
The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 12.2% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : TGT
The strongest argument for TGT centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, P/E Ratio.
Bear Case : PGR
The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.
Bear Case : TGT
The primary concerns for TGT are Profit Margin, Operating Margin, PEG Ratio. Thin 3.5% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
TGT carries more volatility with a beta of 1.10 — expect wider price swings.
PGR is growing revenue faster at 12.2% — sustainability is the question.
PGR generates stronger free cash flow (3.0B), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
PGR scores higher overall (67/100 vs 46/100) and 12.2% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Progressive Corp
FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA
The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.
Visit Website →Target Corporation
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · DISCOUNT STORES · USA
Target Corporation is an American retail corporation. Their retail formats include the discount store Target, the hypermarket SuperTarget, and small-format stores previously named CityTarget and TargetExpress before being consolidated under the Target branding.
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