Target Corporation (TGT) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Target Corporation stock (TGT) is currently trading at $116.37. Target Corporation PE ratio is 14.31. Target Corporation PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.50. Analyst consensus price target for TGT is $124.72. WallStSmart rates TGT as Underperform.
Target Corporation (TGT) stock price prediction for 2030: Base case $179.09. Bull case $223.86. Bear case $134.32. See full TGT 2030 price forecast and methodology on WallStSmart.
- TGT PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- TGT PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- TGT intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- TGT stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- TGT fair value vs current price
- TGT insider transactions and insider buying
- Is TGT undervalued or overvalued?
- Target Corporation financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- TGT Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- TGT analyst price target and Smart Rating
Target Corporation
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TGT Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Target Corporation (TGT)
TGT trades 107% above its Graham fair value of $55.28, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Target Corporation (TGT) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in market cap, return on equity, price/sales. Concerns around peg ratio and operating margin. Mixed signals suggest waiting for clearer direction before acting.
Target Corporation (TGT) Key Strengths (4)
Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue
86.12% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Large-cap company with substantial market presence
Every $100 of equity generates $24 in profit
Supporting Valuation Data
Target Corporation (TGT) Areas to Watch (6)
Revenue declining -1.50%, a shrinking business
Earnings declining -5.00%, profits shrinking
Near-zero operating margins, business under pressure
Very expensive relative to growth, significant premium
Very thin margins, barely profitable
Premium pricing at 3.2x book value
Target Corporation (TGT) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 46/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a D+ grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 4 register as strengths (avg 9.5/10) while 6 fall into concern territory (avg 1.5/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Price/Sales, Institutional Own., Market Cap. Valuation metrics including Price/Sales (0.50) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 24.00%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Operating Margin. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (3.22), Price/Book (3.17) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -1.50%, EPS Growth at -5.00%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Operating Margin at 4.91%, Profit Margin at 3.54%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Revenue Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 24.00% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -1.50% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. Revenue Growth and EPS Growth are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
TGT Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
TGT's Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.50x sits near its historical average of 0.59x (19th percentile), suggesting the market is pricing in steady-state growth. The current valuation is 45% below its historical high of 0.92x set in Oct 2006, and 52% above its historical low of 0.33x in Feb 2009.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Target Corporation (TGT) · CONSUMER DEFENSIVE › DISCOUNT STORES
The Big Picture
Target Corporation operates as a stable business with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. Revenue reached 104.8B with 2% decline year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 3.5%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.
Key Findings
ROE of 24.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.
Generating 2.3B in free cash flow and 3.1B in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.
What to Watch Next
Margin expansion: can Target Corporation push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?
Dividend sustainability with a current yield of 3.9%. Watch payout ratio and free cash flow coverage.
Sector dynamics: monitor DISCOUNT STORES industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Target Corporation.
Bottom Line
Target Corporation offers stability with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. The valuation may present an opportunity for patient investors, though limited growth means returns will likely come from dividends and modest capital appreciation rather than explosive gains.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
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About Target Corporation(TGT)
NYSE
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE
DISCOUNT STORES
USA
Target Corporation is an American retail corporation. Their retail formats include the discount store Target, the hypermarket SuperTarget, and small-format stores previously named CityTarget and TargetExpress before being consolidated under the Target branding.