USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR)vsVistra Corp. (VST)
USAR
USA Rare Earth, Inc.
$26.96
+2.20%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $6.23B
VST
Vistra Corp.
$147.72
-4.05%
UTILITIES · Cap: $52.12B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Vistra Corp. generates 1079510% more annual revenue ($17.74B vs $1.64M). VST leads profitability with a 5.3% profit margin vs 0.0%. VST earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 53/100 (C-).
USAR
Avoid21
out of 100
Grade: F
VST
Buy53
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for USAR.
Margin of Safety
-53.3%
Fair Value
$101.06
Current Price
$147.72
$46.66 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
No standout strengths identified
Large-cap with strong market position
Areas to Watch
Trading at 8.1x book value
0.0% revenue growth
0.0% earnings growth
0.0% margin — thin
Trading at 19.1x book value
5.3% margin — thin
Weak financial health signals
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : USAR
USAR has a balanced fundamental profile.
Bull Case : VST
The strongest argument for VST centers on Market Cap. Revenue growth of 13.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.38 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : USAR
The primary concerns for USAR are Price/Book, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth.
Bear Case : VST
The primary concerns for VST are Price/Book, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 70.6x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 3.36 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
USAR carries more volatility with a beta of 2.42 — expect wider price swings.
VST is growing revenue faster at 13.6% — sustainability is the question.
USAR generates stronger free cash flow (-52M), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
VST scores higher overall (53/100 vs 21/100) and 13.6% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
USA Rare Earth, Inc.
BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA
USA Rare Earth, Inc. engages in mining, processing, and supplying rare earths and other critical minerals. The company is headquartered in Stillwater, Oklahoma.
Vistra Corp.
UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA
Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.
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