WallStSmart

Alto Ingredients Inc (ALTO) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target

Alto Ingredients Inc stock (ALTO) is currently trading at $4.31. Alto Ingredients Inc PE ratio is 26.00. Alto Ingredients Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.35. Analyst consensus price target for ALTO is $5.00. WallStSmart rates ALTO as Underperform.

  • ALTO PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
  • ALTO PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
  • ALTO intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
  • ALTO stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
  • ALTO fair value vs current price
  • ALTO insider transactions and insider buying
  • Is ALTO undervalued or overvalued?
  • Alto Ingredients Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
  • ALTO Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
  • ALTO analyst price target and Smart Rating
ALTO

Alto Ingredients Inc

NASDAQBASIC MATERIALS
$4.31
$0.18 (4.36%)
52W$0.76
$4.89
Target$5.00+16.0%

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IV

ALTO Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors

Benjamin Graham Formula · Alto Ingredients Inc (ALTO)

Margin of Safety
-154.1%
Significantly Overvalued
ALTO Fair Value
$1.09
Graham Formula
Current Price
$4.31
$3.22 above fair value
Undervalued
Fair: $1.09
Overvalued
Price $4.31
Graham IV $1.09
Analyst $5.00

ALTO trades 154% above its Graham fair value of $1.09, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.

Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

WallStSmart

Smart Analysis

Alto Ingredients Inc (ALTO) · 10 metrics scored

Smart Score

47
out of 100
Grade: D+
Hold
Investment Rating

Category Performance

WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.

Investment Thesis

Strong fundamentals in peg ratio, price/sales, price/book. Concerns around return on equity and operating margin. Mixed signals suggest waiting for clearer direction before acting.

Alto Ingredients Inc (ALTO) Key Strengths (3)

Avg Score: 9.3/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.8010/10

Growing significantly faster than its price suggests

Price/SalesValuation
0.3510/10

Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue

Price/BookValuation
1.318/10

Trading at 1.31x book value, attractively priced

Supporting Valuation Data

Price/Sales (TTM)
0.35
Undervalued
EV/Revenue
0.43
Undervalued
ALTO Target Price
$5
64% Upside

Alto Ingredients Inc (ALTO) Areas to Watch (7)

Avg Score: 2.4/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
-1.90%0/10

Revenue declining -1.90%, a shrinking business

EPS GrowthGrowth
-66.20%0/10

Earnings declining -66.20%, profits shrinking

Operating MarginProfitability
3.57%1/10

Near-zero operating margins, business under pressure

Profit MarginProfitability
1.45%2/10

Very thin margins, barely profitable

Return on EquityProfitability
5.67%3/10

Low profitability relative to shareholder equity

Market CapQuality
$322M5/10

Small-cap company with higher risk but more growth potential

Institutional Own.Quality
37.30%6/10

Moderate institutional interest at 37.30%

Supporting Valuation Data

P/E Ratio
26
Expensive
Trailing P/E
26
Expensive

Alto Ingredients Inc (ALTO) Detailed Analysis Report

Overall Assessment

This company scores 47/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a D+ grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 3 register as strengths (avg 9.3/10) while 7 fall into concern territory (avg 2.4/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.

The Bull Case

The strongest argument centers on PEG Ratio, Price/Sales, Price/Book. Valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (0.80), Price/Sales (0.35), Price/Book (1.31) suggest the stock is attractively priced.

The Bear Case

The primary concerns are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Operating Margin. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -1.90%, EPS Growth at -66.20%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 5.67%, Operating Margin at 3.57%, Profit Margin at 1.45%.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Revenue Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 5.67% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -1.90% needing to reaccelerate.

Risk Considerations

Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.

Bottom Line

Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. Revenue Growth and EPS Growth are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.

Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.

ALTO Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart

Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue

ALTO's Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.35x trades at a deep discount to its historical average of 1.43x (61th percentile). The current valuation is 99% below its historical high of 28.55x set in Apr 2006, and 1650% above its historical low of 0.02x in Mar 2020. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has expanded from ~0.2x, reflecting growing market expectations outpacing revenue growth.

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WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis

Data-driven financial summary for Alto Ingredients Inc (ALTO) · BASIC MATERIALSSPECIALTY CHEMICALS

The Big Picture

Alto Ingredients Inc faces headwinds with declining revenue, though profitability provides a cushion. Revenue reached 918M with 190% decline year-over-year. Profit margins are strong at 145.0%, reflecting pricing power and operational efficiency.

Key Findings

Excellent Capital Efficiency

ROE of 567.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.

Strong Profitability

Profit margin of 145.0% and operating margin of 357.0% demonstrate strong pricing power and operational efficiency.

Revenue Decline

Revenue contracted 190% YoY. Worth determining whether this is cyclical or structural.

What to Watch Next

Debt management: total debt of 120M is significantly higher than cash (33M). Monitor refinancing risk.

Sector dynamics: monitor SPECIALTY CHEMICALS industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Alto Ingredients Inc.

Bottom Line

Alto Ingredients Inc faces challenges with declining revenue. While profitability provides a buffer, the long-term trajectory needs to improve. Watch for management's strategic response and whether the company can stabilize or pivot to new growth drivers.

This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Insider Transactions(5 last 3 months)

Total Buys
5
Total Sells
0

Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings

Last updated: 8:21:40 AM

About Alto Ingredients Inc(ALTO)

Exchange

NASDAQ

Sector

BASIC MATERIALS

Industry

SPECIALTY CHEMICALS

Country

USA

Alto Ingredients, Inc. produces and markets specialty alcohols and essential ingredients in the United States. The company is headquartered in Sacramento, California.