WallStSmart

American States Water Company (AWR) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target

American States Water Company stock (AWR) is currently trading at $73.40. American States Water Company PE ratio is 21.48. American States Water Company PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 4.30. Analyst consensus price target for AWR is $72.00. WallStSmart rates AWR as Hold.

  • AWR PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
  • AWR PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
  • AWR intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
  • AWR stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
  • AWR fair value vs current price
  • AWR insider transactions and insider buying
  • Is AWR undervalued or overvalued?
  • American States Water Company financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
  • AWR Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
  • AWR analyst price target and Smart Rating
AWR

American States Water Company

NYSEUTILITIES
$73.40
$0.14 (0.19%)
52W$68.51
$80.79
Target$72.00-1.9%

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IV

AWR Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors

Benjamin Graham Formula · American States Water Company (AWR)

Margin of Safety
-209.6%
Significantly Overvalued
AWR Fair Value
$22.92
Graham Formula
Current Price
$73.40
$50.48 above fair value
Undervalued
Fair: $22.92
Overvalued
Price $73.40
Graham IV $22.92
Analyst $72.00

AWR trades 210% above its Graham fair value of $22.92, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.

Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

WallStSmart

Smart Analysis

American States Water Company (AWR) · 10 metrics scored

Smart Score

56
out of 100
Grade: C
Buy
Investment Rating

Category Performance

WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.

Investment Thesis

Strong fundamentals in operating margin, profit margin, institutional own.. Concerns around eps growth. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.

American States Water Company (AWR) Key Strengths (4)

Avg Score: 8.3/10
Institutional Own.Quality
84.92%10/10

84.92% of shares held by major funds and institutions

Operating MarginProfitability
28.80%8/10

Strong operational efficiency: $29 kept per $100 revenue

Profit MarginProfitability
19.80%8/10

Strong profitability: $20 kept per $100 revenue

Market CapQuality
$2.83B7/10

Mid-cap company balancing growth potential with stability

American States Water Company (AWR) Areas to Watch (6)

Avg Score: 4.2/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
-1.20%0/10

Earnings declining -1.20%, profits shrinking

PEG RatioValuation
2.614/10

Paying a premium for growth, expensive relative to earnings expansion

Price/SalesValuation
4.304/10

Premium valuation at 4.3x annual revenue

Return on EquityProfitability
13.30%5/10

Moderate profitability with room for improvement

Price/BookValuation
2.716/10

Fairly priced relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
14.80%6/10

Solid revenue growth at 14.80% per year

Supporting Valuation Data

AWR Target Price
$72
2% Downside

American States Water Company (AWR) Detailed Analysis Report

Overall Assessment

This company scores 56/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 4 register as strengths (avg 8.3/10) while 6 fall into concern territory (avg 4.2/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.

The Bull Case

The strongest argument centers on Institutional Own., Operating Margin, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with Operating Margin at 28.80%, Profit Margin at 19.80%.

The Bear Case

The primary concerns are EPS Growth, PEG Ratio, Price/Sales. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (2.61), Price/Sales (4.30), Price/Book (2.71) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 14.80%, EPS Growth at -1.20%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 13.30%.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether EPS Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 13.30% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 14.80% needing to reaccelerate.

Risk Considerations

Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.

Bottom Line

Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Institutional Own., Operating Margin) and negatives (EPS Growth, PEG Ratio). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.

Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.

AWR Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart

Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue

AWR's Price-to-Sales ratio of 4.30x sits near its historical average of 4.17x (58th percentile), suggesting the market is pricing in steady-state growth. The current valuation is 37% below its historical high of 6.78x set in Oct 2006, and 90% above its historical low of 2.26x in Sep 2013.

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WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis

Data-driven financial summary for American States Water Company (AWR) · UTILITIESUTILITIES - REGULATED WATER

The Big Picture

American States Water Company is a mature, profitable business with steady cash generation. Revenue reached 658M with 15% growth year-over-year. Profit margins of 19.8% are healthy, with room for further expansion as the business scales.

Key Findings

Excellent Capital Efficiency

ROE of 1330.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.

Negative Free Cash Flow

Free cash flow is -36M, meaning the company is burning cash. This may be acceptable for high-growth companies investing heavily.

Misleading Earnings Decline

Earnings fell 120% YoY while revenue grew 15%. This gap usually reflects one-time items (tax benefits, write-offs) in the prior period, not an operational decline.

What to Watch Next

Dividend sustainability with a current yield of 266.0%. Watch payout ratio and free cash flow coverage.

Debt management: total debt of 922M is significantly higher than cash (26M). Monitor refinancing risk.

Sector dynamics: monitor UTILITIES - REGULATED WATER industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact American States Water Company.

Bottom Line

American States Water Company is a well-established business delivering consistent profitability with 19.8% margins. The growth phase may be slowing, but strong cash generation and operational efficiency make it suitable for investors seeking reliability over excitement.

This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Insider Transactions(88 last 3 months)

Total Buys
38
Total Sells
50

Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings

Last updated: 8:28:30 AM

About American States Water Company(AWR)

Exchange

NYSE

Sector

UTILITIES

Industry

UTILITIES - REGULATED WATER

Country

USA

American States Water Company provides water and electricity services to residential, commercial, industrial and other customers in the United States. The company is headquartered in San Dimas, California.

Visit American States Water Company (AWR) Website
630 EAST FOOTHILL BOULEVARD, SAN DIMAS, CA, UNITED STATES, 91773-1212