WallStSmart

Citi Trends Inc (CTRN) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target

Citi Trends Inc stock (CTRN) is currently trading at $44.63. Citi Trends Inc PE ratio is 69.62. Citi Trends Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.45. Analyst consensus price target for CTRN is $67.50. WallStSmart rates CTRN as Sell.

  • CTRN PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
  • CTRN PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
  • CTRN intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
  • CTRN stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
  • CTRN fair value vs current price
  • CTRN insider transactions and insider buying
  • Is CTRN undervalued or overvalued?
  • Citi Trends Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
  • CTRN Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
  • CTRN analyst price target and Smart Rating
CTRN

Citi Trends Inc

NASDAQCONSUMER CYCLICAL
$44.63
$1.21 (-2.64%)
52W$16.82
$56.78
Target$67.50+51.2%

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IV

CTRN Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors

Benjamin Graham Formula · Citi Trends Inc (CTRN)

Margin of Safety
-976.9%
Significantly Overvalued
CTRN Fair Value
$4.28
Graham Formula
Current Price
$44.63
$40.35 above fair value
Undervalued
Fair: $4.28
Overvalued
Price $44.63
Graham IV $4.28
Analyst $67.50

CTRN trades 977% above its Graham fair value of $4.28, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.

Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

WallStSmart

Smart Analysis

Citi Trends Inc (CTRN) · 10 metrics scored

Smart Score

41
out of 100
Grade: D
Hold
Investment Rating

Category Performance

WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.

Investment Thesis

Strong fundamentals in price/sales, institutional own.. Concerns around return on equity and operating margin. Mixed signals suggest waiting for clearer direction before acting.

Citi Trends Inc (CTRN) Key Strengths (2)

Avg Score: 10.0/10
Price/SalesValuation
0.4510/10

Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue

Institutional Own.Quality
96.32%10/10

96.32% of shares held by major funds and institutions

Supporting Valuation Data

Forward P/E
3.643
Attractive
Price/Sales (TTM)
0.446
Undervalued
EV/Revenue
0.639
Undervalued
CTRN Target Price
$67.5
47% Upside

Citi Trends Inc (CTRN) Areas to Watch (8)

Avg Score: 2.6/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
-48.30%0/10

Earnings declining -48.30%, profits shrinking

Return on EquityProfitability
4.54%1/10

Very low returns on shareholder equity

Operating MarginProfitability
3.02%1/10

Near-zero operating margins, business under pressure

Profit MarginProfitability
0.64%2/10

Very thin margins, barely profitable

PEG RatioValuation
2.854/10

Paying a premium for growth, expensive relative to earnings expansion

Price/BookValuation
3.154/10

Premium pricing at 3.2x book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
9.10%4/10

Modest revenue growth at 9.10%

Market CapQuality
$366M5/10

Small-cap company with higher risk but more growth potential

Supporting Valuation Data

P/E Ratio
69.62
Overvalued
Trailing P/E
69.62
Overvalued

Citi Trends Inc (CTRN) Detailed Analysis Report

Overall Assessment

This company scores 41/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a D grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 2 register as strengths (avg 10.0/10) while 8 fall into concern territory (avg 2.6/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.

The Bull Case

The strongest argument centers on Price/Sales, Institutional Own.. Valuation metrics including Price/Sales (0.45) suggest the stock is attractively priced.

The Bear Case

The primary concerns are EPS Growth, Return on Equity, Operating Margin. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (2.85), Price/Book (3.15) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 9.10%, EPS Growth at -48.30%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 4.54%, Operating Margin at 3.02%, Profit Margin at 0.64%.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether EPS Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 4.54% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 9.10% needing to reaccelerate.

Risk Considerations

Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.

Bottom Line

Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. EPS Growth and Return on Equity are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.

Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.

CTRN Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart

Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue

CTRN's Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.45x trades at a 21% premium to its historical average of 0.37x (77th percentile). The current valuation is 68% below its historical high of 1.4x set in Apr 2006, and 346% above its historical low of 0.1x in Mar 2020.

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WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis

Data-driven financial summary for Citi Trends Inc (CTRN) · CONSUMER CYCLICALAPPAREL RETAIL

The Big Picture

Citi Trends Inc is a mature, profitable business with steady cash generation. Revenue reached 820M with 9% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are strong at 64.0%, reflecting pricing power and operational efficiency.

Key Findings

Excellent Capital Efficiency

ROE of 454.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.

Strong Profitability

Profit margin of 64.0% and operating margin of 302.0% demonstrate strong pricing power and operational efficiency.

What to Watch Next

Valuation compression risk at a P/E of 69.6x. Any growth miss could trigger a sharp correction.

Volatility is elevated with a beta of 2.06, so expect amplified moves relative to the broader market.

Sector dynamics: monitor APPAREL RETAIL industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Citi Trends Inc.

Bottom Line

Citi Trends Inc is a well-established business delivering consistent profitability with 64.0% margins. The growth phase may be slowing, but strong cash generation and operational efficiency make it suitable for investors seeking reliability over excitement.

This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Insider Transactions

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About Citi Trends Inc(CTRN)

Exchange

NASDAQ

Sector

CONSUMER CYCLICAL

Industry

APPAREL RETAIL

Country

USA

Citi Trends, Inc. is a retailer of affordable fashion clothing, accessories and home goods. The company is headquartered in Savannah, Georgia.