GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd (GHG) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd stock (GHG) is currently trading at $1.22. GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd PE ratio is 7.54. GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.10. Analyst consensus price target for GHG is $3.60. WallStSmart rates GHG as Hold.
- GHG PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- GHG PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- GHG intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- GHG stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- GHG fair value vs current price
- GHG insider transactions and insider buying
- Is GHG undervalued or overvalued?
- GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- GHG Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- GHG analyst price target and Smart Rating
GreenTree Hospitality Group
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GHG Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd (GHG)
GHG trades at a significant discount to its Graham intrinsic value of $12.17, offering a 88% margin of safety — a level value investors typically seek before buying.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd (GHG) · 9 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in price/sales, price/book, eps growth. Concerns around market cap and revenue growth. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd (GHG) Key Strengths (4)
Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue
Trading below book value, meaning the market prices it less than net assets
Earnings per share surging 63.50% year-over-year
Strong profitability: $15 kept per $100 revenue
Supporting Valuation Data
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd (GHG) Areas to Watch (5)
Revenue declining -11.30%, a shrinking business
Very low institutional interest at 10.95%
Micro-cap company with very limited liquidity and high volatility
Moderate profitability with room for improvement
Decent operational efficiency, solid but not exceptional
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd (GHG) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 58/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C grade. Out of 9 metrics analyzed, 4 register as strengths (avg 9.5/10) while 5 fall into concern territory (avg 3.2/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Price/Sales, Price/Book, EPS Growth. Valuation metrics including Price/Sales (0.10), Price/Book (0.50) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Profit Margin at 15.30%. Growth metrics are encouraging with EPS Growth at 63.50%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Revenue Growth, Institutional Own., Market Cap. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -11.30%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 11.40%, Operating Margin at 15.60%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Revenue Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 11.40% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -11.30% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Price/Sales, Price/Book) and negatives (Revenue Growth, Institutional Own.). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
GHG Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
GHG's Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.10x trades at a deep discount to its historical average of 0.47x (11th percentile). The current valuation is 93% below its historical high of 1.55x set in Jun 2018, and 49% above its historical low of 0.07x in Feb 2026. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~0.1x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd (GHG) · CONSUMER CYCLICAL › LODGING
The Big Picture
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd faces headwinds with declining revenue, though profitability provides a cushion. Revenue reached 1.2B with 11% decline year-over-year. Profit margins of 15.3% are healthy, with room for further expansion as the business scales.
Key Findings
ROE of 1140.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.
Revenue contracted 11% YoY. Worth determining whether this is cyclical or structural.
Free cash flow is -20M, meaning the company is burning cash. This may be acceptable for high-growth companies investing heavily.
What to Watch Next
Dividend sustainability with a current yield of 311.0%. Watch payout ratio and free cash flow coverage.
Sector dynamics: monitor LODGING industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd.
Bottom Line
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd faces challenges with declining revenue. While profitability provides a buffer, the long-term trajectory needs to improve. Watch for management's strategic response and whether the company can stabilize or pivot to new growth drivers.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
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About GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd(GHG)
NYSE
CONSUMER CYCLICAL
LODGING
China
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd., develops and sells leased and operated, franchised and managed hotels under the GreenTree brand in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.