Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Graphic Packaging Holding Company stock (GPK) is currently trading at $8.98. Graphic Packaging Holding Company PE ratio is 6.02. Graphic Packaging Holding Company PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.31. Analyst consensus price target for GPK is $14.23. WallStSmart rates GPK as Underperform.
- GPK PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- GPK PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- GPK intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- GPK stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- GPK fair value vs current price
- GPK insider transactions and insider buying
- Is GPK undervalued or overvalued?
- Graphic Packaging Holding Company financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- GPK Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- GPK analyst price target and Smart Rating
Graphic Packaging Holding Company
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GPK Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK)
GPK trades 23% above its Graham fair value of $10.06, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in price/sales, price/book, institutional own.. Concerns around peg ratio and operating margin. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.
Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) Key Strengths (4)
Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue
Trading below book value, meaning the market prices it less than net assets
117.44% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Mid-cap company balancing growth potential with stability
Supporting Valuation Data
Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) Areas to Watch (6)
Earnings declining -48.00%, profits shrinking
Very expensive relative to growth, significant premium
Very thin margins with limited operational efficiency
Revenue growing slowly at 0.40% annually
Thin profit margins with limited profitability
Moderate profitability with room for improvement
Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 53/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C- grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 4 register as strengths (avg 9.3/10) while 6 fall into concern territory (avg 2.5/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Price/Sales, Price/Book, Institutional Own.. Valuation metrics including Price/Sales (0.31), Price/Book (0.79) suggest the stock is attractively priced.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are EPS Growth, PEG Ratio, Operating Margin. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (3.33) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 0.40%, EPS Growth at -48.00%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 14.00%, Operating Margin at 6.80%, Profit Margin at 5.15%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether EPS Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 14.00% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 0.40% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Price/Sales, Price/Book) and negatives (EPS Growth, PEG Ratio). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
GPK Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
GPK's Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.31x sits near its historical average of 0.36x (0th percentile), suggesting the market is pricing in steady-state growth. The current valuation is 27% below its historical high of 0.42x set in Mar 2026, and -1% above its historical low of 0.31x in Mar 2026. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~0.4x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) · CONSUMER CYCLICAL › PACKAGING & CONTAINERS
The Big Picture
Graphic Packaging Holding Company is in a high-growth phase, prioritizing rapid expansion over margins. Revenue reached 8.6B with 40% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 5.2%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.
Key Findings
Revenue growing at 40% YoY, reaching 8.6B. This pace significantly outperforms most PACKAGING & CONTAINERS peers.
ROE of 1400.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.
Earnings fell 48% YoY while revenue grew 40%. This gap usually reflects one-time items (tax benefits, write-offs) in the prior period, not an operational decline.
What to Watch Next
Margin expansion: can Graphic Packaging Holding Company push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?
Growth sustainability: can Graphic Packaging Holding Company maintain 40%+ revenue growth, or will competition slow it down?
Dividend sustainability with a current yield of 470.0%. Watch payout ratio and free cash flow coverage.
Sector dynamics: monitor PACKAGING & CONTAINERS industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Graphic Packaging Holding Company.
Bottom Line
Graphic Packaging Holding Company is a high-conviction growth story with revenue accelerating at 40% while profitability is still developing. For growth-oriented investors, the trajectory is compelling. For value investors, the thin 5.2% margins and premium valuation suggest patience until the unit economics mature further.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
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About Graphic Packaging Holding Company(GPK)
NYSE
CONSUMER CYCLICAL
PACKAGING & CONTAINERS
USA
Graphic Packaging Holding Company, offers paper packaging solutions for food, beverage, food service and other consumer products companies. The company is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.