Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK)vsPackaging Corp of America (PKG)
GPK
Graphic Packaging Holding Company
$9.38
+4.45%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $2.66B
PKG
Packaging Corp of America
$213.36
-0.07%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $19.21B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Packaging Corp of America generates 4% more annual revenue ($8.99B vs $8.62B). PKG leads profitability with a 8.6% profit margin vs 5.1%. PKG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.63. PKG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 54/100 (C-).
GPK
Buy53
out of 100
Grade: C-
PKG
Buy54
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-23.4%
Fair Value
$10.06
Current Price
$9.38
$0.68 premium
Margin of Safety
-319.6%
Fair Value
$58.28
Current Price
$213.36
$155.08 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
No standout strengths identified
Areas to Watch
0.4% revenue growth
5.1% margin — thin
Weak financial health signals
Expensive relative to growth rate
Expensive relative to growth rate
Weak financial health signals
Earnings declined 56.5%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : GPK
The strongest argument for GPK centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book.
Bull Case : PKG
Revenue growth of 10.1% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : GPK
The primary concerns for GPK are Revenue Growth, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score.
Bear Case : PKG
The primary concerns for PKG are PEG Ratio, Piotroski F-Score, EPS Growth.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
PKG carries more volatility with a beta of 0.90 — expect wider price swings.
PKG is growing revenue faster at 10.1% — sustainability is the question.
GPK generates stronger free cash flow (407M), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor PACKAGING & CONTAINERS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
PKG scores higher overall (54/100 vs 53/100) and 10.1% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Graphic Packaging Holding Company
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA
Graphic Packaging Holding Company, offers paper packaging solutions for food, beverage, food service and other consumer products companies. The company is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Packaging Corp of America
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA
Packaging Corporation of America is an American manufacturing company based in Lake Forest, Illinois.
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