WallStSmart

Herc Holdings Inc (HRI) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target

Herc Holdings Inc stock (HRI) is currently trading at $106.72. Herc Holdings Inc PE ratio is 3418.67. Herc Holdings Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.78. Analyst consensus price target for HRI is $172.36. WallStSmart rates HRI as Hold.

  • HRI PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
  • HRI PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
  • HRI intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
  • HRI stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
  • HRI fair value vs current price
  • HRI insider transactions and insider buying
  • Is HRI undervalued or overvalued?
  • Herc Holdings Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
  • HRI Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
  • HRI analyst price target and Smart Rating
HRI

Herc Holdings Inc

NYSEINDUSTRIALS
$106.72
$4.16 (4.06%)
52W$94.23
$187.47
Target$172.36+61.5%

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IV

HRI Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors

Benjamin Graham Formula · Herc Holdings Inc (HRI)

Margin of Safety
-90305.0%
Significantly Overvalued
HRI Fair Value
$0.20
Graham Formula
Current Price
$106.72
$106.52 above fair value
Undervalued
Fair: $0.20
Overvalued
Price $106.72
Graham IV $0.20
Analyst $172.36

HRI trades 90305% above its Graham fair value of $0.20, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.

Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

WallStSmart

Smart Analysis

Herc Holdings Inc (HRI) · 10 metrics scored

Smart Score

60
out of 100
Grade: C+
Buy
Investment Rating

Category Performance

WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.

Investment Thesis

Strong fundamentals in peg ratio, price/sales, price/book. Concerns around return on equity and eps growth. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.

Herc Holdings Inc (HRI) Key Strengths (6)

Avg Score: 8.8/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.0510/10

Growing significantly faster than its price suggests

Price/SalesValuation
0.7810/10

Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue

Institutional Own.Quality
108.28%10/10

108.28% of shares held by major funds and institutions

Price/BookValuation
1.728/10

Trading at 1.72x book value, attractively priced

Revenue GrowthGrowth
27.10%8/10

Strong revenue growth at 27.10% annually

Market CapQuality
$3.42B7/10

Mid-cap company balancing growth potential with stability

Supporting Valuation Data

Forward P/E
12.45
Attractive
Price/Sales (TTM)
0.782
Undervalued
EV/Revenue
2.999
Undervalued
HRI Target Price
$172.36
17% Upside

Herc Holdings Inc (HRI) Areas to Watch (4)

Avg Score: 1.8/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
-79.00%0/10

Earnings declining -79.00%, profits shrinking

Return on EquityProfitability
0.06%1/10

Very low returns on shareholder equity

Profit MarginProfitability
0.02%2/10

Very thin margins, barely profitable

Operating MarginProfitability
14.40%4/10

Thin operating margins with cost pressures present

Supporting Valuation Data

P/E Ratio
3418.67
Overvalued
Trailing P/E
3418.67
Overvalued

Herc Holdings Inc (HRI) Detailed Analysis Report

Overall Assessment

This company scores 60/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C+ grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 6 register as strengths (avg 8.8/10) while 4 fall into concern territory (avg 1.8/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.

The Bull Case

The strongest argument centers on PEG Ratio, Price/Sales, Institutional Own.. Valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (0.05), Price/Sales (0.78), Price/Book (1.72) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Growth metrics are encouraging with Revenue Growth at 27.10%.

The Bear Case

The primary concerns are EPS Growth, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Growth concerns include EPS Growth at -79.00%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 0.06%, Operating Margin at 14.40%, Profit Margin at 0.02%.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether EPS Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 0.06% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 27.10% strong but requiring continuation.

Risk Considerations

Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. The weight of evidence leans positive, with more strengths than concerns. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.

Bottom Line

Mixed fundamentals with both positives (PEG Ratio, Price/Sales) and negatives (EPS Growth, Return on Equity). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.

Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.

HRI Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart

Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue

HRI's Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.78x sits near its historical average of 0.86x (53th percentile), suggesting the market is pricing in steady-state growth. The current valuation is 77% below its historical high of 3.45x set in Nov 2021, and Infinity% above its historical low of 0x in Jan 2007. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~1.3x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.

Compare HRI with Competitors

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WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis

Data-driven financial summary for Herc Holdings Inc (HRI) · INDUSTRIALSRENTAL & LEASING SERVICES

The Big Picture

Herc Holdings Inc is a strong growth company balancing expansion with improving profitability. Revenue reached 4.4B with 27% growth year-over-year. The company is currently unprofitable, posting a 0.0% profit margin.

Key Findings

Strong Revenue Growth

Revenue growing at 27% YoY, reaching 4.4B. This pace significantly outperforms most RENTAL & LEASING SERVICES peers.

Cash Flow Positive

Generating 53M in free cash flow and 349M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.

Low Return on Equity

ROE of 0.1% suggests the company isn't efficiently converting equity into profits.

Thin Margins Despite Growth

Profit margin at 0.0% is thin. While this is common for high-growth companies, margins need to expand as growth naturally decelerates.

What to Watch Next

Margin expansion: can Herc Holdings Inc push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?

Growth sustainability: can Herc Holdings Inc maintain 27%+ revenue growth, or will competition slow it down?

Valuation compression risk at a P/E of 3418.7x. Any growth miss could trigger a sharp correction.

Volatility is elevated with a beta of 1.71, so expect amplified moves relative to the broader market.

Bottom Line

Herc Holdings Inc offers an attractive blend of growth (27% revenue expansion) and improving fundamentals. The company is transitioning from pure growth to profitable growth, a critical inflection point. Watch for sustained margin expansion as the key signal.

This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Insider Transactions

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About Herc Holdings Inc(HRI)

Exchange

NYSE

Sector

INDUSTRIALS

Industry

RENTAL & LEASING SERVICES

Country

USA

Herc Holdings Inc. is an equipment rental provider primarily in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Bonita Springs, Florida.