WallStSmart

Murphy Oil Corporation (MUR) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target

Murphy Oil Corporation stock (MUR) is currently trading at $39.97. Murphy Oil Corporation PE ratio is 53.64. Murphy Oil Corporation PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 2.05. Analyst consensus price target for MUR is $35.53. WallStSmart rates MUR as Sell.

  • MUR PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
  • MUR PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
  • MUR intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
  • MUR stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
  • MUR fair value vs current price
  • MUR insider transactions and insider buying
  • Is MUR undervalued or overvalued?
  • Murphy Oil Corporation financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
  • MUR Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
  • MUR analyst price target and Smart Rating
MUR

Murphy Oil Corporation

NYSEENERGY
$39.97
$1.35 (3.50%)
52W$18.03
$40.38
Target$35.53-11.1%

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IV

MUR Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors

Benjamin Graham Formula · Murphy Oil Corporation (MUR)

Margin of Safety
-598.8%
Significantly Overvalued
MUR Fair Value
$4.90
Graham Formula
Current Price
$39.97
$35.07 above fair value
Undervalued
Fair: $4.90
Overvalued
Price $39.97
Graham IV $4.90
Analyst $35.53

MUR trades 599% above its Graham fair value of $4.90, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.

Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

WallStSmart

Smart Analysis

Murphy Oil Corporation (MUR) · 10 metrics scored

Smart Score

43
out of 100
Grade: D
Hold
Investment Rating

Category Performance

WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.

Investment Thesis

Strong fundamentals in peg ratio, price/book, institutional own.. Concerns around return on equity and operating margin. Mixed signals suggest waiting for clearer direction before acting.

Murphy Oil Corporation (MUR) Key Strengths (4)

Avg Score: 8.8/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.3310/10

Growing significantly faster than its price suggests

Institutional Own.Quality
92.88%10/10

92.88% of shares held by major funds and institutions

Price/BookValuation
1.088/10

Trading at 1.08x book value, attractively priced

Market CapQuality
$5.52B7/10

Mid-cap company balancing growth potential with stability

Supporting Valuation Data

EV/Revenue
2.735
Undervalued

Murphy Oil Corporation (MUR) Areas to Watch (6)

Avg Score: 1.5/10
Operating MarginProfitability
-10.40%0/10

Losing money on operations

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-8.40%0/10

Revenue declining -8.40%, a shrinking business

EPS GrowthGrowth
-76.20%0/10

Earnings declining -76.20%, profits shrinking

Return on EquityProfitability
2.62%1/10

Very low returns on shareholder equity

Profit MarginProfitability
3.88%2/10

Very thin margins, barely profitable

Price/SalesValuation
2.056/10

Revenue is fairly priced at 2.05x sales

Supporting Valuation Data

P/E Ratio
53.64
Overvalued
Forward P/E
91.74
Expensive
Trailing P/E
53.64
Overvalued

Murphy Oil Corporation (MUR) Detailed Analysis Report

Overall Assessment

This company scores 43/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a D grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 4 register as strengths (avg 8.8/10) while 6 fall into concern territory (avg 1.5/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.

The Bull Case

The strongest argument centers on PEG Ratio, Institutional Own., Price/Book. Valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (0.33), Price/Book (1.08) suggest the stock is attractively priced.

The Bear Case

The primary concerns are Operating Margin, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth. Some valuation metrics including Price/Sales (2.05) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -8.40%, EPS Growth at -76.20%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 2.62%, Operating Margin at -10.40%, Profit Margin at 3.88%.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Operating Margin improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 2.62% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -8.40% needing to reaccelerate.

Risk Considerations

Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.

Bottom Line

Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. Operating Margin and Revenue Growth are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.

Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.

MUR Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart

Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue

MUR's Price-to-Sales ratio of 2.05x trades 118% above its historical average of 0.94x (90th percentile), historically expensive. The current valuation is 16% below its historical high of 2.45x set in Dec 2017, and 832% above its historical low of 0.22x in Feb 2009. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has expanded from ~1.8x, reflecting growing market expectations outpacing revenue growth.

Compare MUR with Competitors

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WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis

Data-driven financial summary for Murphy Oil Corporation (MUR) · ENERGYOIL & GAS E&P

The Big Picture

Murphy Oil Corporation faces headwinds with declining revenue, though profitability provides a cushion. Revenue reached 2.7B with 8% decline year-over-year. Profit margins are strong at 388.0%, reflecting pricing power and operational efficiency.

Key Findings

Excellent Capital Efficiency

ROE of 262.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.

Cash Flow Positive

Generating 51M in free cash flow and 250M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.

Revenue Decline

Revenue contracted 8% YoY. Worth determining whether this is cyclical or structural.

What to Watch Next

Valuation compression risk at a P/E of 53.6x. Any growth miss could trigger a sharp correction.

Dividend sustainability with a current yield of 3.5%. Watch payout ratio and free cash flow coverage.

Sector dynamics: monitor OIL & GAS E&P industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Murphy Oil Corporation.

Bottom Line

Murphy Oil Corporation faces challenges with declining revenue. While profitability provides a buffer, the long-term trajectory needs to improve. Watch for management's strategic response and whether the company can stabilize or pivot to new growth drivers.

This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Insider Transactions

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About Murphy Oil Corporation(MUR)

Exchange

NYSE

Sector

ENERGY

Industry

OIL & GAS E&P

Country

USA

Murphy Oil Corporation is an oil and natural gas exploration and production company in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Houston, Texas.