ConocoPhillips (COP)vsMurphy Oil Corporation (MUR)
COP
ConocoPhillips
$128.93
-0.32%
ENERGY · Cap: $157.60B
MUR
Murphy Oil Corporation
$39.97
+3.50%
ENERGY · Cap: $5.52B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
ConocoPhillips generates 2141% more annual revenue ($60.28B vs $2.69B). COP leads profitability with a 13.3% profit margin vs 3.9%. MUR appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.33. COP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 48/100 (D+).
COP
Hold48
out of 100
Grade: D+
MUR
Hold43
out of 100
Grade: D
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-157.1%
Fair Value
$43.25
Current Price
$128.93
$85.68 premium
Margin of Safety
-598.8%
Fair Value
$4.90
Current Price
$39.97
$35.07 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Large-cap with strong market position
Reasonable price relative to book value
Generating 1.3B in free cash flow
Growing faster than its price suggests
Reasonable price relative to book value
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Revenue declined 6.8%
Earnings declined 39.0%
ROE of 2.6% — below average capital efficiency
3.9% margin — thin
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Revenue declined 8.4%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : COP
The strongest argument for COP centers on Market Cap, Price/Book, Free Cash Flow.
Bull Case : MUR
The strongest argument for MUR centers on PEG Ratio, Price/Book. PEG of 0.33 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : COP
The primary concerns for COP are PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth.
Bear Case : MUR
The primary concerns for MUR are Return on Equity, Profit Margin, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 53.6x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 3.9% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
COP profiles as a declining stock while MUR is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
MUR carries more volatility with a beta of 0.73 — expect wider price swings.
COP is growing revenue faster at -6.8% — sustainability is the question.
COP generates stronger free cash flow (1.3B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
COP scores higher overall (48/100 vs 43/100). Both earn "Hold" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
ConocoPhillips
ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA
ConocoPhillips is an American multinational corporation engaged in hydrocarbon exploration. It is based in the Energy Corridor district of Houston, Texas.
Murphy Oil Corporation
ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA
Murphy Oil Corporation is an oil and natural gas exploration and production company in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
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