Murphy USA Inc (MUSA) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Murphy USA Inc stock (MUSA) is currently trading at $477.36. Murphy USA Inc PE ratio is 19.42. Murphy USA Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.51. Analyst consensus price target for MUSA is $429.38. WallStSmart rates MUSA as Underperform.
- MUSA PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- MUSA PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- MUSA intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- MUSA stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- MUSA fair value vs current price
- MUSA insider transactions and insider buying
- Is MUSA undervalued or overvalued?
- Murphy USA Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- MUSA Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- MUSA analyst price target and Smart Rating
Murphy USA Inc
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MUSA Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Murphy USA Inc (MUSA)
MUSA appears undervalued based on the Graham Formula, trading 20% below its estimated fair value of $476.41.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Murphy USA Inc (MUSA) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in return on equity, price/sales, institutional own.. Concerns around operating margin and price/book. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.
Murphy USA Inc (MUSA) Key Strengths (4)
Every $100 of shareholder equity generates $64 in profit
Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue
87.68% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Mid-cap company balancing growth potential with stability
Supporting Valuation Data
Murphy USA Inc (MUSA) Areas to Watch (6)
Very thin margins with limited operational efficiency
Very expensive at 13.6x book value
Revenue growing slowly at 0.20% annually
Very thin margins, barely profitable
Modest earnings growth at 8.10%
Growth is fairly priced, not cheap, not expensive
Murphy USA Inc (MUSA) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 54/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C- grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 4 register as strengths (avg 9.3/10) while 6 fall into concern territory (avg 3.0/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Return on Equity, Price/Sales, Institutional Own.. Valuation metrics including Price/Sales (0.51) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 64.30%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Operating Margin, Price/Book, Revenue Growth. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (1.51), Price/Book (13.64) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 0.20%, EPS Growth at 8.10%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Operating Margin at 5.25%, Profit Margin at 2.77%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Operating Margin improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 64.30% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 0.20% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Return on Equity, Price/Sales) and negatives (Operating Margin, Price/Book). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
MUSA Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
MUSA's Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.51x sits near its historical average of 0.48x (71th percentile), suggesting the market is pricing in steady-state growth. The current valuation is 2% below its historical high of 0.52x set in Mar 2026, and 19% above its historical low of 0.43x in Mar 2026. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has expanded from ~0.4x, reflecting growing market expectations outpacing revenue growth.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Murphy USA Inc (MUSA) · CONSUMER CYCLICAL › SPECIALTY RETAIL
The Big Picture
Murphy USA Inc is a strong growth company balancing expansion with improving profitability. Revenue reached 17.0B with 20% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are strong at 277.0%, reflecting pricing power and operational efficiency.
Key Findings
ROE of 6430.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.
Generating 129M in free cash flow and 246M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.
Debt-to-equity ratio of 5.22 is elevated. High leverage amplifies both gains and losses and increases financial risk.
What to Watch Next
Debt management: total debt of 3.3B is significantly higher than cash (29M). Monitor refinancing risk.
Sector dynamics: monitor SPECIALTY RETAIL industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Murphy USA Inc.
Bottom Line
Murphy USA Inc offers an attractive blend of growth (20% revenue expansion) and improving fundamentals. The company is transitioning from pure growth to profitable growth, a critical inflection point. Watch for sustained margin expansion as the key signal.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
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About Murphy USA Inc(MUSA)
NYSE
CONSUMER CYCLICAL
SPECIALTY RETAIL
USA
Murphy USA Inc. is engaged in the marketing of retail motor fuel products and convenience merchandise. The company is headquartered in El Dorado, Arkansas.