Northern Oil & Gas Inc (NOG) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Northern Oil & Gas Inc stock (NOG) is currently trading at $29.61. Northern Oil & Gas Inc PE ratio is 75.92. Northern Oil & Gas Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 1.58. Analyst consensus price target for NOG is $32.70. WallStSmart rates NOG as Hold.
- NOG PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- NOG PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- NOG intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- NOG stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- NOG fair value vs current price
- NOG insider transactions and insider buying
- Is NOG undervalued or overvalued?
- Northern Oil & Gas Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- NOG Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- NOG analyst price target and Smart Rating
Northern Oil & Gas Inc
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NOG Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Northern Oil & Gas Inc (NOG)
NOG trades 903% above its Graham fair value of $2.65, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Northern Oil & Gas Inc (NOG) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in peg ratio, operating margin, price/sales. Concerns around return on equity and revenue growth. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.
Northern Oil & Gas Inc (NOG) Key Strengths (6)
Growing significantly faster than its price suggests
Keeps $56 of every $100 in revenue after operating costs
106.44% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Paying $1.58 for every $1 of annual revenue
Trading at 1.42x book value, attractively priced
Mid-cap company balancing growth potential with stability
Supporting Valuation Data
Northern Oil & Gas Inc (NOG) Areas to Watch (4)
Revenue declining -17.10%, a shrinking business
Earnings declining -26.50%, profits shrinking
Very low returns on shareholder equity
Very thin margins, barely profitable
Supporting Valuation Data
Northern Oil & Gas Inc (NOG) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 56/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 6 register as strengths (avg 8.8/10) while 4 fall into concern territory (avg 0.8/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on PEG Ratio, Operating Margin, Institutional Own.. Valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (0.56), Price/Sales (1.58), Price/Book (1.42) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Operating Margin at 56.10%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Return on Equity. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -17.10%, EPS Growth at -26.50%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 1.74%, Profit Margin at 1.97%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Revenue Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 1.74% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -17.10% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. The weight of evidence leans positive, with more strengths than concerns. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Mixed fundamentals with both positives (PEG Ratio, Operating Margin) and negatives (Revenue Growth, EPS Growth). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
NOG Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
NOG's Price-to-Sales ratio of 1.58x trades at a deep discount to its historical average of 19.55x (36th percentile). The current valuation is 99% below its historical high of 257.02x set in Nov 2009, and 1333% above its historical low of 0.11x in Mar 2020. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has expanded from ~1.4x, reflecting growing market expectations outpacing revenue growth.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Northern Oil & Gas Inc (NOG) · ENERGY › OIL & GAS E&P
The Big Picture
Northern Oil & Gas Inc operates as a stable business with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. Revenue reached 2.0B with 17% decline year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 2.0%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.
Key Findings
Revenue contracted 17% YoY. Worth determining whether this is cyclical or structural.
ROE of 1.7% suggests the company isn't efficiently converting equity into profits.
What to Watch Next
Margin expansion: can Northern Oil & Gas Inc push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?
Valuation compression risk at a P/E of 75.9x. Any growth miss could trigger a sharp correction.
Dividend sustainability with a current yield of 6.2%. Watch payout ratio and free cash flow coverage.
Sector dynamics: monitor OIL & GAS E&P industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Northern Oil & Gas Inc.
Bottom Line
Northern Oil & Gas Inc offers stability with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. The valuation may present an opportunity for patient investors, though limited growth means returns will likely come from dividends and modest capital appreciation rather than explosive gains.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions(35 last 3 months)
Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings
Last updated: 2:28:58 PM
About Northern Oil & Gas Inc(NOG)
NYSE
ENERGY
OIL & GAS E&P
USA
Northern Oil and Gas, Inc., an independent energy company, is engaged in the acquisition, exploration, exploitation, development and production of crude oil and natural gas properties in the United States. The company is headquartered in Minnetonka, Minnesota.