ConocoPhillips (COP)vsNorthern Oil & Gas Inc (NOG)
COP
ConocoPhillips
$119.27
-4.00%
ENERGY · Cap: $142.38B
NOG
Northern Oil & Gas Inc
$20.98
-4.11%
ENERGY · Cap: $2.26B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
ConocoPhillips generates 2984% more annual revenue ($59.38B vs $1.93B). COP leads profitability with a 12.3% profit margin vs -32.4%. NOG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.56. COP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 58/100 (C).
COP
Buy58
out of 100
Grade: C
NOG
Hold43
out of 100
Grade: D
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for COP.
Margin of Safety
+90.0%
Fair Value
$264.48
Current Price
$20.98
$243.50 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Large-cap with strong market position
Growing faster than its price suggests
Reasonable price relative to book value
Strong operational efficiency at 22.1%
Generating 1.3B in free cash flow
Reasonable price relative to book value
Growing faster than its price suggests
Areas to Watch
Revenue declined 5.3%
Earnings declined 20.2%
Elevated debt levels
ROE of -29.8% — below average capital efficiency
Revenue declined 7.1%
Earnings declined 26.5%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : COP
The strongest argument for COP centers on Market Cap, PEG Ratio, Price/Book. PEG of 0.98 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : NOG
The strongest argument for NOG centers on Price/Book, PEG Ratio. PEG of 0.56 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : COP
The primary concerns for COP are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth.
Bear Case : NOG
The primary concerns for NOG are Debt/Equity, Return on Equity, Revenue Growth.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
COP profiles as a declining stock while NOG is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.
NOG carries more volatility with a beta of 0.69 — expect wider price swings.
COP is growing revenue faster at -5.3% — sustainability is the question.
COP generates stronger free cash flow (1.3B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
COP scores higher overall (58/100 vs 43/100). NOG offers better value entry with a 90.0% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
ConocoPhillips
ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA
ConocoPhillips is an American multinational corporation engaged in hydrocarbon exploration. It is based in the Energy Corridor district of Houston, Texas.
Northern Oil & Gas Inc
ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA
Northern Oil and Gas, Inc., an independent energy company, is engaged in the acquisition, exploration, exploitation, development and production of crude oil and natural gas properties in the United States. The company is headquartered in Minnetonka, Minnesota.
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