WallStSmart

NRG Energy Inc. (NRG)vsVistra Corp. (VST)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

NRG Energy Inc. generates 72% more annual revenue ($33.12B vs $19.21B). VST leads profitability with a 11.6% profit margin vs 2.6%. VST appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.38. NRG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 60/100 (C+).

NRG

Buy

60

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.0Value: 6.3Quality: 4.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.61

VST

Buy

54

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 2.0Profit: 7.0Value: 7.0Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.60

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

NRG1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.4610/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

VST2 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.3810/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Return on EquityProfitability
40.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 40 in profit

Areas to Watch

NRG4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
P/E RatioValuation
31.2x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.614/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Profit MarginProfitability
2.6%3/10

2.6% margin — thin

EPS GrowthGrowth
-85.6%2/10

Earnings declined 85.6%

VST4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Price/BookValuation
15.7x4/10

Trading at 15.7x book value

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-5.5%2/10

Revenue declined 5.5%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-6.2%2/10

Earnings declined 6.2%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : NRG

The strongest argument for NRG centers on PEG Ratio. Revenue growth of 11.0% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.46 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : VST

The strongest argument for VST centers on PEG Ratio, Return on Equity. PEG of 0.38 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : NRG

The primary concerns for NRG are P/E Ratio, Altman Z-Score, Profit Margin. Debt-to-equity of 4.83 is elevated, increasing financial risk. Thin 2.6% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : VST

The primary concerns for VST are Price/Book, Piotroski F-Score, Revenue Growth. Debt-to-equity of 3.63 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

NRG profiles as a value stock while VST is a declining play — different risk/reward profiles.

VST carries more volatility with a beta of 1.41 — expect wider price swings.

NRG is growing revenue faster at 11.0% — sustainability is the question.

NRG generates stronger free cash flow (779M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

NRG scores higher overall (60/100 vs 54/100) and 11.0% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

NRG Energy Inc.

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

NRG Energy, Inc. is a large American energy company, headquartered in Houston, Texas. It was formerly the wholesale arm of Northern States Power Company (NSP), which became Xcel Energy, but became independent in 2000. NRG Energy is involved in energy generation and retail electricity.

Vistra Corp.

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

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