WallStSmart

Frontier Group Holdings Inc (ULCC) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target

Frontier Group Holdings Inc stock (ULCC) is currently trading at $3.70. Frontier Group Holdings Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.20. Analyst consensus price target for ULCC is $4.94. WallStSmart rates ULCC as Sell.

  • ULCC PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
  • ULCC PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
  • ULCC intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
  • ULCC stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
  • ULCC fair value vs current price
  • ULCC insider transactions and insider buying
  • Is ULCC undervalued or overvalued?
  • Frontier Group Holdings Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
  • ULCC Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
  • ULCC analyst price target and Smart Rating
ULCC

Frontier Group Holdings Inc

NASDAQINDUSTRIALS
$3.70
$0.22 (6.32%)
52W$2.89
$6.66
Target$4.94+33.6%

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WallStSmart

Smart Analysis

Frontier Group Holdings Inc (ULCC) · 9 metrics scored

Smart Score

34
out of 100
Grade: F
Avoid
Investment Rating

Category Performance

WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.

Investment Thesis

Strong fundamentals in price/sales, price/book, institutional own.. Concerns around return on equity and operating margin. Significant fundamental concerns warrant caution or avoidance.

Frontier Group Holdings Inc (ULCC) Key Strengths (3)

Avg Score: 8.7/10
Price/SalesValuation
0.2010/10

Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue

Price/BookValuation
1.498/10

Trading at 1.49x book value, attractively priced

Institutional Own.Quality
54.99%8/10

54.99% held by institutions, strong professional interest

Supporting Valuation Data

Forward P/E
13.95
Attractive
Price/Sales (TTM)
0.196
Undervalued
EV/Revenue
1.484
Undervalued

Frontier Group Holdings Inc (ULCC) Areas to Watch (6)

Avg Score: 1.2/10
Return on EquityProfitability
-25.00%0/10

Company is destroying shareholder value

Operating MarginProfitability
-9.63%0/10

Losing money on operations

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-0.50%0/10

Revenue declining -0.50%, a shrinking business

Profit MarginProfitability
-3.68%0/10

Company is losing money with a negative profit margin

EPS GrowthGrowth
1.00%2/10

Earnings barely growing at 1.00%

Market CapQuality
$730M5/10

Small-cap company with higher risk but more growth potential

Frontier Group Holdings Inc (ULCC) Detailed Analysis Report

Overall Assessment

This company scores 34/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a F grade. Out of 9 metrics analyzed, 3 register as strengths (avg 8.7/10) while 6 fall into concern territory (avg 1.2/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.

The Bull Case

The strongest argument centers on Price/Sales, Price/Book, Institutional Own.. Valuation metrics including Price/Sales (0.20), Price/Book (1.49) suggest the stock is attractively priced.

The Bear Case

The primary concerns are Return on Equity, Operating Margin, Revenue Growth. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -0.50%, EPS Growth at 1.00%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at -25.00%, Operating Margin at -9.63%, Profit Margin at -3.68%.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Return on Equity improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at -25.00% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -0.50% needing to reaccelerate.

Risk Considerations

Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.

Bottom Line

Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. Return on Equity and Operating Margin are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.

Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.

ULCC Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart

Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue

ULCC's Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.20x trades at a deep discount to its historical average of 0.9x (0th percentile). The current valuation is 95% below its historical high of 3.92x set in May 2021, and -2% above its historical low of 0.2x in Mar 2026. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~0.3x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.

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WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis

Data-driven financial summary for Frontier Group Holdings Inc (ULCC) · INDUSTRIALSAIRLINES

The Big Picture

Frontier Group Holdings Inc is in a turnaround phase, with management focused on restoring profitability. Revenue reached 3.7B with 50% decline year-over-year. The company is currently unprofitable, posting a -368.0% profit margin.

Key Findings

Revenue Decline

Revenue contracted 50% YoY. Worth determining whether this is cyclical or structural.

Operating at a Loss

The company is unprofitable with a -368.0% profit margin. The path to breakeven will be the key catalyst.

What to Watch Next

Volatility is elevated with a beta of 2.55, so expect amplified moves relative to the broader market.

Sector dynamics: monitor AIRLINES industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Frontier Group Holdings Inc.

Bottom Line

Frontier Group Holdings Inc is in turnaround mode. The path to profitability remains the critical question. Speculative investors may see opportunity in the recovery story, but conservative investors should wait for consistent positive earnings before committing capital.

This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Insider Transactions

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About Frontier Group Holdings Inc(ULCC)

Exchange

NASDAQ

Sector

INDUSTRIALS

Industry

AIRLINES

Country

USA

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc., a low-fare airline, provides air transportation for passengers. The company is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.