Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Valero Energy Corporation stock (VLO) is currently trading at $234.54. Valero Energy Corporation PE ratio is 31.94. Valero Energy Corporation PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.62. Analyst consensus price target for VLO is $214.22. WallStSmart rates VLO as Underperform.
- VLO PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- VLO PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- VLO intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- VLO stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- VLO fair value vs current price
- VLO insider transactions and insider buying
- Is VLO undervalued or overvalued?
- Valero Energy Corporation financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- VLO Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- VLO analyst price target and Smart Rating
Valero Energy Corporation
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VLO Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Valero Energy Corporation (VLO)
VLO trades at a significant discount to its Graham intrinsic value of $354.28, offering a 42% margin of safety — a level value investors typically seek before buying.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in market cap, price/sales, eps growth. Concerns around peg ratio and return on equity. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.
Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) Key Strengths (4)
Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue
Earnings per share surging 317.90% year-over-year
87.77% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Large-cap company with substantial market presence
Supporting Valuation Data
Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) Areas to Watch (6)
Revenue declining -2.10%, a shrinking business
Very expensive relative to growth, significant premium
Very thin margins with limited operational efficiency
Very thin margins, barely profitable
Low profitability relative to shareholder equity
Premium pricing at 3.0x book value
Supporting Valuation Data
Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 51/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C- grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 4 register as strengths (avg 9.8/10) while 6 fall into concern territory (avg 2.2/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Price/Sales, EPS Growth, Institutional Own.. Valuation metrics including Price/Sales (0.62) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Growth metrics are encouraging with EPS Growth at 317.90%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Revenue Growth, PEG Ratio, Operating Margin. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (4.21), Price/Book (3.02) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -2.10%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 8.30%, Operating Margin at 5.93%, Profit Margin at 2.03%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Revenue Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 8.30% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -2.10% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Price/Sales, EPS Growth) and negatives (Revenue Growth, PEG Ratio). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
VLO Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
VLO's Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.62x trades 131% above its historical average of 0.27x (99th percentile), historically expensive. The current valuation is 1% below its historical high of 0.63x set in Mar 2026, and 791% above its historical low of 0.07x in Nov 2008.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) · ENERGY › OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING
The Big Picture
Valero Energy Corporation faces headwinds with declining revenue, though profitability provides a cushion. Revenue reached 115.9B with 210% decline year-over-year. Profit margins are strong at 203.0%, reflecting pricing power and operational efficiency.
Key Findings
ROE of 830.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.
Generating 1.8B in free cash flow and 2.1B in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.
Revenue contracted 210% YoY. Worth determining whether this is cyclical or structural.
What to Watch Next
Sector dynamics: monitor OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Valero Energy Corporation.
Bottom Line
Valero Energy Corporation faces challenges with declining revenue. While profitability provides a buffer, the long-term trajectory needs to improve. Watch for management's strategic response and whether the company can stabilize or pivot to new growth drivers.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
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About Valero Energy Corporation(VLO)
NYSE
ENERGY
OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING
USA
Valero Energy Corporation is a Fortune 500 international manufacturer and marketer of transportation fuels, other petrochemical products, and power. It is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas, United States.