WallStSmart

Xponential Fitness Inc (XPOF) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target

Xponential Fitness Inc stock (XPOF) is currently trading at $5.79. Xponential Fitness Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.92. Analyst consensus price target for XPOF is $8.39. WallStSmart rates XPOF as Sell.

  • XPOF PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
  • XPOF PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
  • XPOF intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
  • XPOF stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
  • XPOF fair value vs current price
  • XPOF insider transactions and insider buying
  • Is XPOF undervalued or overvalued?
  • Xponential Fitness Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
  • XPOF Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
  • XPOF analyst price target and Smart Rating
XPOF

Xponential Fitness Inc

NYSECONSUMER CYCLICAL
$5.79
$0.05 (0.87%)
52W$3.83
$11.14
Target$8.39+44.9%

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WallStSmart

Smart Analysis

Xponential Fitness Inc (XPOF) · 9 metrics scored

Smart Score

31
out of 100
Grade: F
Avoid
Investment Rating

Category Performance

WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.

Investment Thesis

Strong fundamentals in price/sales, institutional own.. Concerns around market cap and return on equity. Significant fundamental concerns warrant caution or avoidance.

Xponential Fitness Inc (XPOF) Key Strengths (2)

Avg Score: 10.0/10
Price/SalesValuation
0.9210/10

Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue

Institutional Own.Quality
97.96%10/10

97.96% of shares held by major funds and institutions

Supporting Valuation Data

Price/Sales (TTM)
0.918
Undervalued
EV/Revenue
2.231
Undervalued

Xponential Fitness Inc (XPOF) Areas to Watch (7)

Avg Score: 1.6/10
Return on EquityProfitability
-28.80%0/10

Company is destroying shareholder value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-0.30%0/10

Revenue declining -0.30%, a shrinking business

EPS GrowthGrowth
-81.70%0/10

Earnings declining -81.70%, profits shrinking

Profit MarginProfitability
-12.30%0/10

Company is losing money with a negative profit margin

Price/BookValuation
430.202/10

Very expensive at 430.2x book value

Market CapQuality
$289M3/10

Micro-cap company with very limited liquidity and high volatility

Operating MarginProfitability
17.60%6/10

Decent operational efficiency, solid but not exceptional

Xponential Fitness Inc (XPOF) Detailed Analysis Report

Overall Assessment

This company scores 31/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a F grade. Out of 9 metrics analyzed, 2 register as strengths (avg 10.0/10) while 7 fall into concern territory (avg 1.6/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.

The Bull Case

The strongest argument centers on Price/Sales, Institutional Own.. Valuation metrics including Price/Sales (0.92) suggest the stock is attractively priced.

The Bear Case

The primary concerns are Return on Equity, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth. Some valuation metrics including Price/Book (430.20) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -0.30%, EPS Growth at -81.70%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at -28.80%, Operating Margin at 17.60%, Profit Margin at -12.30%.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Return on Equity improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at -28.80% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -0.30% needing to reaccelerate.

Risk Considerations

Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.

Bottom Line

Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. Return on Equity and Revenue Growth are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.

Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.

XPOF Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart

Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue

XPOF's Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.92x trades at a deep discount to its historical average of 2.49x (16th percentile). The current valuation is 86% below its historical high of 6.5x set in Nov 2021, and 28% above its historical low of 0.72x in Mar 2026.

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WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis

Data-driven financial summary for Xponential Fitness Inc (XPOF) · CONSUMER CYCLICALLEISURE

The Big Picture

Xponential Fitness Inc is in a turnaround phase, with management focused on restoring profitability. Revenue reached 315M with 0% growth year-over-year. The company is currently unprofitable, posting a -12.3% profit margin.

Key Findings

Cash Flow Positive

Generating 10M in free cash flow and 11M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.

Operating at a Loss

The company is unprofitable with a -12.3% profit margin. The path to breakeven will be the key catalyst.

What to Watch Next

Sector dynamics: monitor LEISURE industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Xponential Fitness Inc.

Bottom Line

Xponential Fitness Inc is in turnaround mode. The path to profitability remains the critical question. Speculative investors may see opportunity in the recovery story, but conservative investors should wait for consistent positive earnings before committing capital.

This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Insider Transactions

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About Xponential Fitness Inc(XPOF)

Exchange

NYSE

Sector

CONSUMER CYCLICAL

Industry

LEISURE

Country

USA

Xponential Fitness Inc. (XPOF) stands at the forefront of the boutique fitness franchise sector, boasting a robust portfolio that includes leading brands like Club Pilates, CycleBar, and StretchLab. The company leverages a community-focused model to deliver personalized fitness solutions, positioning itself favorably within the burgeoning wellness market. With an innovative franchise system that meets the increasing demand for diverse fitness modalities, Xponential presents a strong growth trajectory driven by consumer trends. Its scalable approach combined with a commitment to operational excellence offers unique investment prospects for institutional stakeholders eager to engage with a dynamic segment of the health and wellness industry.