WallStSmart

Alcoa Corp (AA)vsBHP Group Limited (BHP)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

BHP Group Limited generates 297% more annual revenue ($53.99B vs $13.60B). BHP leads profitability with a 19.0% profit margin vs 9.4%. BHP appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 5.95. AA earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 76/100 (B+).

AA

Strong Buy

76

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 8.0Profit: 7.0Value: 4.7Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.52

BHP

Buy

65

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 5.3Profit: 9.0Value: 4.3Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 2.24
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AASignificantly Overvalued (-68.4%)

Margin of Safety

-68.4%

Fair Value

$26.87

Current Price

$50.17

$23.30 premium

UndervaluedFair: $26.87Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for BHP.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AA4 strengths · Avg: 9.5/10
P/E RatioValuation
9.4x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Revenue GrowthGrowth
31.4%10/10

Revenue surging 31.4% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
146.8%10/10

Earnings expanding 146.8% YoY

Price/BookValuation
1.8x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

BHP5 strengths · Avg: 9.2/10
Market CapQuality
$214.63B10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Return on EquityProfitability
42.9%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 43 in profit

Operating MarginProfitability
40.7%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 40.7%

EPS GrowthGrowth
27.5%8/10

Earnings expanding 27.5% YoY

Free Cash FlowQuality
$4.31B8/10

Generating 4.3B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

AA2 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.524/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

PEG RatioValuation
8.362/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

BHP2 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

PEG RatioValuation
5.952/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AA

The strongest argument for AA centers on P/E Ratio, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 31.4% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : BHP

The strongest argument for BHP centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 19.0% and operating margin at 40.7%. Revenue growth of 10.8% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : AA

The primary concerns for AA are Altman Z-Score, PEG Ratio.

Bear Case : BHP

The primary concerns for BHP are Piotroski F-Score, PEG Ratio.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AA profiles as a hypergrowth stock while BHP is a mature play — different risk/reward profiles.

AA carries more volatility with a beta of 1.63 — expect wider price swings.

AA is growing revenue faster at 31.4% — sustainability is the question.

BHP generates stronger free cash flow (4.3B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

AA scores higher overall (76/100 vs 65/100) and 31.4% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Alcoa Corp

BASIC MATERIALS · ALUMINUM · USA

Alcoa Corporation produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products in the United States, Spain, Australia, Brazil, Canada, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

BHP Group Limited

BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA

BHP Group engages in the natural resources business in Australia, Europe, China, Japan, India, South Korea, the rest of Asia, North America, South America and internationally. The company is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia.

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