WallStSmart

Alcoa Corp (AA)vsKaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Alcoa Corp generates 218% more annual revenue ($14.31B vs $4.51B). AA leads profitability with a 10.7% profit margin vs 4.8%. KALU appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.17. AA earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 78/100 (B+).

AA

Strong Buy

78

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 7.3Profit: 7.0Value: 4.7Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.52

KALU

Buy

61

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 4.7Profit: 5.5Value: 8.0Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 2.33
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AASignificantly Overvalued (-39.9%)

Margin of Safety

-39.9%

Fair Value

$28.52

Current Price

$39.54

$11.02 premium

UndervaluedFair: $28.52Overvalued
KALUUndervalued (+21.9%)

Margin of Safety

+21.9%

Fair Value

$185.16

Current Price

$106.84

$78.32 discount

UndervaluedFair: $185.16Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AA4 strengths · Avg: 9.5/10
P/E RatioValuation
7.0x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.3x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
105.7%10/10

Earnings expanding 105.7% YoY

Revenue GrowthGrowth
23.7%8/10

Revenue surging 23.7% year-over-year

KALU3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
P/E RatioValuation
9.3x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Revenue GrowthGrowth
44.0%10/10

Revenue surging 44.0% year-over-year

Price/BookValuation
1.8x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

AA2 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.524/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

PEG RatioValuation
8.362/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

KALU4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Market CapQuality
$1.96B3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Profit MarginProfitability
4.8%3/10

4.8% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
4.5%3/10

Operating margin of 4.5%

Debt/EquityHealth
1.093/10

Elevated debt levels

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AA

The strongest argument for AA centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 23.7% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : KALU

The strongest argument for KALU centers on P/E Ratio, Revenue Growth, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 44.0% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.17 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : AA

The primary concerns for AA are Altman Z-Score, PEG Ratio.

Bear Case : KALU

The primary concerns for KALU are Market Cap, Profit Margin, Operating Margin. Thin 4.8% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AA profiles as a growth stock while KALU is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.

AA carries more volatility with a beta of 1.74 — expect wider price swings.

KALU is growing revenue faster at 44.0% — sustainability is the question.

AA generates stronger free cash flow (472M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

AA scores higher overall (78/100 vs 61/100) and 23.7% revenue growth. KALU offers better value entry with a 21.9% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Alcoa Corp

BASIC MATERIALS · ALUMINUM · USA

Alcoa Corporation produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products in the United States, Spain, Australia, Brazil, Canada, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation

BASIC MATERIALS · ALUMINUM · USA

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation manufactures and sells specialty semi-finished aluminum mill products. The company is headquartered in Foothill Ranch, California.

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