WallStSmart

AGCO Corporation (AGCO)vsZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc generates 387% more annual revenue ($49.10B vs $10.08B). ZTO leads profitability with a 18.5% profit margin vs 7.2%. AGCO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.12. ZTO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 69/100 (B-).

AGCO

Strong Buy

68

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 5.3Profit: 6.0Value: 6.0Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 2.26

ZTO

Strong Buy

69

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 6.7Profit: 7.0Value: 8.0Quality: 7.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 2.74
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AGCOSignificantly Overvalued (-24.6%)

Margin of Safety

-24.6%

Fair Value

$111.12

Current Price

$121.02

$9.90 premium

UndervaluedFair: $111.12Overvalued
ZTOUndervalued (+81.2%)

Margin of Safety

+81.2%

Fair Value

$132.23

Current Price

$25.37

$106.86 discount

UndervaluedFair: $132.23Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AGCO3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
P/E RatioValuation
11.7x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

EPS GrowthGrowth
922.0%10/10

Earnings expanding 922.0% YoY

Price/BookValuation
2.1x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

ZTO5 strengths · Avg: 8.6/10
Free Cash FlowQuality
$11.97B10/10

Generating 12.0B in free cash flow

Debt/EquityHealth
0.199/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

P/E RatioValuation
15.5x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
2.1x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
22.3%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 22.3%

Areas to Watch

AGCO2 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
1.1%4/10

1.1% revenue growth

Profit MarginProfitability
7.2%3/10

7.2% margin — thin

ZTO0 concerns · Avg: 0/10

No major concerns identified

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AGCO

The strongest argument for AGCO centers on P/E Ratio, EPS Growth, Price/Book. PEG of 1.12 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : ZTO

The strongest argument for ZTO centers on Free Cash Flow, Debt/Equity, P/E Ratio. Profitability is solid with margins at 18.5% and operating margin at 22.3%. Revenue growth of 12.3% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : AGCO

The primary concerns for AGCO are Revenue Growth, Profit Margin.

Bear Case : ZTO

No major red flags identified for ZTO, but monitor valuation.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AGCO profiles as a value stock while ZTO is a mature play — different risk/reward profiles.

AGCO carries more volatility with a beta of 1.16 — expect wider price swings.

ZTO is growing revenue faster at 12.3% — sustainability is the question.

ZTO generates stronger free cash flow (12.0B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

ZTO scores higher overall (69/100 vs 68/100), backed by strong 18.5% margins and 12.3% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

AGCO Corporation

INDUSTRIALS · FARM & HEAVY CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY · USA

AGCO Corporation manufactures and distributes agricultural equipment and related spare parts worldwide. The company is headquartered in Duluth, Georgia.

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ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · China

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

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