WallStSmart

Oshkosh Corporation (OSK)vsZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc generates 394% more annual revenue ($51.49B vs $10.43B). ZTO leads profitability with a 17.9% profit margin vs 5.5%. ZTO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.18. ZTO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 70/100 (B-).

OSK

Hold

49

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 3.3Profit: 5.0Value: 5.0Quality: 7.0
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 2.82

ZTO

Strong Buy

70

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 7.3Profit: 7.0Value: 8.0Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 3.36
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for OSK.

ZTOUndervalued (+64.6%)

Margin of Safety

+64.6%

Fair Value

$70.28

Current Price

$22.28

$48.00 discount

UndervaluedFair: $70.28Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

OSK3 strengths · Avg: 8.3/10
Debt/EquityHealth
0.269/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

P/E RatioValuation
15.0x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.8x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

ZTO5 strengths · Avg: 8.4/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.3610/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

P/E RatioValuation
13.3x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.8x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
22.0%8/10

Revenue surging 22.0% year-over-year

Free Cash FlowQuality
$2.79B8/10

Generating 2.8B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

OSK4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
0.2%4/10

0.2% revenue growth

Profit MarginProfitability
5.5%3/10

5.5% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
3.6%3/10

Operating margin of 3.6%

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

ZTO0 concerns · Avg: 0/10

No major concerns identified

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : OSK

The strongest argument for OSK centers on Debt/Equity, P/E Ratio, Price/Book.

Bull Case : ZTO

The strongest argument for ZTO centers on Altman Z-Score, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Profitability is solid with margins at 17.9% and operating margin at 19.2%. Revenue growth of 22.0% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : OSK

The primary concerns for OSK are Revenue Growth, Profit Margin, Operating Margin.

Bear Case : ZTO

No major red flags identified for ZTO, but monitor valuation.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

OSK profiles as a value stock while ZTO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

OSK carries more volatility with a beta of 1.26 — expect wider price swings.

ZTO is growing revenue faster at 22.0% — sustainability is the question.

ZTO generates stronger free cash flow (2.8B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

ZTO scores higher overall (70/100 vs 49/100), backed by strong 17.9% margins and 22.0% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Oshkosh Corporation

INDUSTRIALS · FARM & HEAVY CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY · USA

Oshkosh Corporation designs, manufactures and markets specialty vehicles and bodies worldwide. The company is headquartered in Oshkosh, Wisconsin.

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · China

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

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