WallStSmart

Alliance Resource Partners LP (ARLP)vsShell PLC ADR (SHEL)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Shell PLC ADR generates 12218% more annual revenue ($267.34B vs $2.17B). ARLP leads profitability with a 11.4% profit margin vs 7.0%. ARLP appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.55. SHEL earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 63/100 (C+).

ARLP

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 2.0Profit: 6.0Value: 8.7Quality: 5.8
Piotroski: 3/9

SHEL

Buy

63

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 4.7Profit: 5.5Value: 5.3Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 2.37
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

ARLPUndervalued (+44.5%)

Margin of Safety

+44.5%

Fair Value

$45.92

Current Price

$25.62

$20.30 discount

UndervaluedFair: $45.92Overvalued
SHELSignificantly Overvalued (-59.1%)

Margin of Safety

-59.1%

Fair Value

$53.84

Current Price

$85.40

$31.56 premium

UndervaluedFair: $53.84Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ARLP4 strengths · Avg: 8.3/10
Debt/EquityHealth
0.299/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

PEG RatioValuation
0.558/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

P/E RatioValuation
13.2x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.9x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

SHEL5 strengths · Avg: 8.8/10
Market CapQuality
$238.11B10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Price/BookValuation
1.4x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

P/E RatioValuation
13.4x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

EPS GrowthGrowth
26.6%8/10

Earnings expanding 26.6% YoY

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.63B8/10

Generating 1.6B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

ARLP3 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-4.5%2/10

Revenue declined 4.5%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-88.5%2/10

Earnings declined 88.5%

SHEL3 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
0.7%4/10

0.7% revenue growth

Profit MarginProfitability
7.0%3/10

7.0% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ARLP

The strongest argument for ARLP centers on Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio. PEG of 0.55 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : SHEL

The strongest argument for SHEL centers on Market Cap, Price/Book, P/E Ratio. PEG of 1.27 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : ARLP

The primary concerns for ARLP are Piotroski F-Score, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth.

Bear Case : SHEL

The primary concerns for SHEL are Revenue Growth, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ARLP profiles as a declining stock while SHEL is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

ARLP carries more volatility with a beta of 0.19 — expect wider price swings.

SHEL is growing revenue faster at 0.7% — sustainability is the question.

SHEL generates stronger free cash flow (1.6B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

SHEL scores higher overall (63/100 vs 53/100). ARLP offers better value entry with a 44.5% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Alliance Resource Partners LP

ENERGY · THERMAL COAL · USA

Alliance Resource Partners, LP, a diversified natural resources company, produces and markets coal primarily for industrial and utility users in the United States. The company is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma.

Shell PLC ADR

ENERGY · OIL & GAS INTEGRATED · USA

Shell plc is a global petrochemical and energy company. The company is headquartered in The Hague, the Netherlands.

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