WallStSmart

AvalonBay Communities Inc (AVB)vsUMH Properties Inc (UMH)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

AvalonBay Communities Inc generates 1051% more annual revenue ($3.06B vs $265.94M). AVB leads profitability with a 37.3% profit margin vs 11.0%. UMH appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.72. AVB earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 59/100 (C).

AVB

Buy

59

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 6.7Profit: 7.5Value: 4.7Quality: 4.0
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 1.01

UMH

Buy

51

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 5.3Profit: 5.5Value: 6.7Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.09
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AVBUndervalued (+10.9%)

Margin of Safety

+10.9%

Fair Value

$201.79

Current Price

$189.72

$12.07 discount

UndervaluedFair: $201.79Overvalued
UMHUndervalued (+62.8%)

Margin of Safety

+62.8%

Fair Value

$43.40

Current Price

$15.26

$28.14 discount

UndervaluedFair: $43.40Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AVB4 strengths · Avg: 8.5/10
Profit MarginProfitability
37.3%10/10

Keeps 37 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Price/BookValuation
2.3x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
29.3%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 29.3%

EPS GrowthGrowth
40.3%8/10

Earnings expanding 40.3% YoY

UMH2 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.728/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Price/BookValuation
2.2x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

AVB4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
2.5%4/10

2.5% revenue growth

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

PEG RatioValuation
6.972/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.012/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

UMH4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Market CapQuality
$1.28B3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Return on EquityProfitability
3.3%3/10

ROE of 3.3% — below average capital efficiency

P/E RatioValuation
150.2x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

EPS GrowthGrowth
-54.2%2/10

Earnings declined 54.2%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AVB

The strongest argument for AVB centers on Profit Margin, Price/Book, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 37.3% and operating margin at 29.3%.

Bull Case : UMH

The strongest argument for UMH centers on PEG Ratio, Price/Book. PEG of 0.72 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : AVB

The primary concerns for AVB are Revenue Growth, Piotroski F-Score, PEG Ratio.

Bear Case : UMH

The primary concerns for UMH are Market Cap, Return on Equity, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 150.2x leaves little room for execution misses.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

UMH carries more volatility with a beta of 0.98 — expect wider price swings.

UMH is growing revenue faster at 7.6% — sustainability is the question.

AVB generates stronger free cash flow (359M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor REIT - RESIDENTIAL industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

AVB scores higher overall (59/100 vs 51/100), backed by strong 37.3% margins. UMH offers better value entry with a 62.8% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

AvalonBay Communities Inc

REAL ESTATE · REIT - RESIDENTIAL · USA

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. is a publicly traded real estate investment trust that invests in apartments.

UMH Properties Inc

REAL ESTATE · REIT - RESIDENTIAL · USA

UMH Properties, Inc., which was organized in 1968, is a publicly owned REIT that owns and operates 124 manufactured home communities containing approximately 23,400 developed lots.

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