WallStSmart

Brightstar Lottery PLC (BRSL)vsChurchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Churchill Downs Incorporated generates 21% more annual revenue ($2.99B vs $2.47B). CHDN leads profitability with a 13.8% profit margin vs 10.1%. BRSL trades at a lower P/E of 11.7x. CHDN earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 65/100 (B-).

BRSL

Buy

61

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 4.7Profit: 7.0Value: 6.7Quality: 3.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 0.46

CHDN

Strong Buy

65

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 6.0Profit: 8.0Value: 7.3Quality: 3.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.00
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for BRSL.

CHDNUndervalued (+71.2%)

Margin of Safety

+71.2%

Fair Value

$329.48

Current Price

$83.86

$245.62 discount

UndervaluedFair: $329.48Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

BRSL4 strengths · Avg: 8.5/10
P/E RatioValuation
11.7x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
2.3x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
20.7%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 20.7%

EPS GrowthGrowth
48.8%8/10

Earnings expanding 48.8% YoY

CHDN3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
Return on EquityProfitability
35.2%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 35 in profit

Operating MarginProfitability
36.5%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 36.5%

P/E RatioValuation
14.6x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Areas to Watch

BRSL4 concerns · Avg: 1.8/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
-7.4%2/10

Revenue declined 7.4%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-1.46B2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
0.462/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Debt/EquityHealth
5.231/10

Elevated debt levels

CHDN4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.694/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Revenue GrowthGrowth
4.9%4/10

4.9% revenue growth

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.002/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Debt/EquityHealth
3.571/10

Elevated debt levels

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : BRSL

The strongest argument for BRSL centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Operating Margin.

Bull Case : CHDN

The strongest argument for CHDN centers on Return on Equity, Operating Margin, P/E Ratio.

Bear Case : BRSL

The primary concerns for BRSL are Revenue Growth, Free Cash Flow, Altman Z-Score. Debt-to-equity of 5.23 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : CHDN

The primary concerns for CHDN are PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth, Altman Z-Score. Debt-to-equity of 3.57 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

BRSL profiles as a declining stock while CHDN is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

BRSL carries more volatility with a beta of 1.00 — expect wider price swings.

CHDN is growing revenue faster at 4.9% — sustainability is the question.

CHDN generates stronger free cash flow (159M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

CHDN scores higher overall (65/100 vs 61/100). Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Brightstar Lottery PLC

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · GAMBLING · USA

Brightstar Lottery PLC provides lottery solutions in the United States, Italy, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

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Churchill Downs Incorporated

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · GAMBLING · USA

Churchill Downs Incorporated is a gaming, online betting and racing entertainment company in the United States. The company is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.

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