Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN)vsDraftKings Inc (DKNG)
CHDN
Churchill Downs Incorporated
$86.92
+0.88%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $6.06B
DKNG
DraftKings Inc
$24.93
-1.73%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $14.39B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
DraftKings Inc generates 114% more annual revenue ($6.29B vs $2.95B). CHDN leads profitability with a 13.2% profit margin vs 0.9%. DKNG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.11. CHDN earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 61/100 (C+).
CHDN
Buy61
out of 100
Grade: C+
DKNG
Buy56
out of 100
Grade: C
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+71.6%
Fair Value
$333.65
Current Price
$86.92
$246.73 discount
Margin of Safety
+63.6%
Fair Value
$72.24
Current Price
$24.93
$47.31 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Every $100 of equity generates 35 in profit
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Strong operational efficiency at 21.7%
Growing faster than its price suggests
Earnings expanding 184.6% YoY
16.8% revenue growth
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
3.1% revenue growth
Distress zone — elevated risk
Elevated debt levels
0.9% margin — thin
Operating margin of 0.3%
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Trading at 20.4x book value
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CHDN
The strongest argument for CHDN centers on Return on Equity, P/E Ratio, Operating Margin.
Bull Case : DKNG
The strongest argument for DKNG centers on PEG Ratio, EPS Growth, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 16.8% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.11 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : CHDN
The primary concerns for CHDN are PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth, Altman Z-Score. Debt-to-equity of 4.50 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : DKNG
The primary concerns for DKNG are Profit Margin, Operating Margin, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 322.2x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 2.22 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CHDN profiles as a value stock while DKNG is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
DKNG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.65 — expect wider price swings.
DKNG is growing revenue faster at 16.8% — sustainability is the question.
CHDN generates stronger free cash flow (236M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
CHDN scores higher overall (61/100 vs 56/100). DKNG offers better value entry with a 63.6% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Churchill Downs Incorporated
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · GAMBLING · USA
Churchill Downs Incorporated is a gaming, online betting and racing entertainment company in the United States. The company is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.
Visit Website →DraftKings Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · GAMBLING · USA
DraftKings Inc. is a digital sports entertainment and games company in the United States. The company is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.
Visit Website →Compare with Other GAMBLING Stocks
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