Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Churchill Downs Incorporated stock (CHDN) is currently trading at $87.20. Churchill Downs Incorporated PE ratio is 16.27. Churchill Downs Incorporated PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 2.05. Analyst consensus price target for CHDN is $135.50. WallStSmart rates CHDN as Underperform.
- CHDN PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- CHDN PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- CHDN intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- CHDN stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- CHDN fair value vs current price
- CHDN insider transactions and insider buying
- Is CHDN undervalued or overvalued?
- Churchill Downs Incorporated financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- CHDN Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- CHDN analyst price target and Smart Rating
Churchill Downs Incorporated
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CHDN Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN)
CHDN trades 164% above its Graham fair value of $35.97, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in return on equity, institutional own.. Concerns around price/book and eps growth. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.
Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) Key Strengths (3)
Every $100 of shareholder equity generates $36 in profit
81.71% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Mid-cap company balancing growth potential with stability
Supporting Valuation Data
Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) Areas to Watch (7)
Earnings declining -25.20%, profits shrinking
Very expensive at 5.9x book value
Modest revenue growth at 6.70%
Growth is fairly priced, not cheap, not expensive
Decent operational efficiency, solid but not exceptional
Revenue is fairly priced at 2.05x sales
Decent profitability, keeps $13 per $100 revenue
Supporting Valuation Data
Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 55/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C- grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 3 register as strengths (avg 9.0/10) while 7 fall into concern territory (avg 4.3/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Return on Equity, Institutional Own., Market Cap. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 35.70%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are EPS Growth, Price/Book, Revenue Growth. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (1.57), Price/Sales (2.05), Price/Book (5.94) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 6.70%, EPS Growth at -25.20%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Operating Margin at 18.80%, Profit Margin at 13.10%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether EPS Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 35.70% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 6.70% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Return on Equity, Institutional Own.) and negatives (EPS Growth, Price/Book). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
CHDN Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
CHDN's Price-to-Sales ratio of 2.05x trades at a deep discount to its historical average of 10.49x (1th percentile). The current valuation is 91% below its historical high of 23.51x set in Nov 2018, and 3% above its historical low of 1.99x in Mar 2026.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) · CONSUMER CYCLICAL › GAMBLING
The Big Picture
Churchill Downs Incorporated operates as a stable business with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. Revenue reached 2.9B with 7% growth year-over-year. Profit margins of 13.1% are healthy, with room for further expansion as the business scales.
Key Findings
ROE of 3570.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.
Generating 16M in free cash flow and 96M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.
Debt-to-equity ratio of 4.93 is elevated. High leverage amplifies both gains and losses and increases financial risk.
What to Watch Next
Margin expansion: can Churchill Downs Incorporated push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?
Debt management: total debt of 5.1B is significantly higher than cash (181M). Monitor refinancing risk.
Sector dynamics: monitor GAMBLING industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Churchill Downs Incorporated.
Bottom Line
Churchill Downs Incorporated offers stability with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. The valuation may present an opportunity for patient investors, though limited growth means returns will likely come from dividends and modest capital appreciation rather than explosive gains.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
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About Churchill Downs Incorporated(CHDN)
NASDAQ
CONSUMER CYCLICAL
GAMBLING
USA
Churchill Downs Incorporated is a gaming, online betting and racing entertainment company in the United States. The company is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.