WallStSmart

Baytex Energy Corp (BTE)vsCanadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd generates 2498% more annual revenue ($38.63B vs $1.49B). CNQ leads profitability with a 25.1% profit margin vs -49.8%. CNQ earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 58/100 (C).

BTE

Avoid

33

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 2.7Profit: 2.0Value: 4.7Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 0.60

CNQ

Buy

58

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 2.0Profit: 8.5Value: 7.3Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 2.05
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

BTEOvervalued (-7.0%)

Margin of Safety

-7.0%

Fair Value

$3.73

Current Price

$3.99

$0.26 premium

UndervaluedFair: $3.73Overvalued
CNQUndervalued (+52.7%)

Margin of Safety

+52.7%

Fair Value

$83.51

Current Price

$39.49

$44.02 discount

UndervaluedFair: $83.51Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

BTE2 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Debt/EquityHealth
0.0710/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Price/BookValuation
1.9x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

CNQ6 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
11.8x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
30.3%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 30 in profit

Market CapQuality
$82.36B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Profit MarginProfitability
25.1%9/10

Keeps 25 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Price/BookValuation
2.6x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
21.8%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 21.8%

Areas to Watch

BTE4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
1.6%4/10

1.6% revenue growth

Return on EquityProfitability
-34.6%2/10

ROE of -34.6% — below average capital efficiency

EPS GrowthGrowth
-82.6%2/10

Earnings declined 82.6%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-29.60M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

CNQ3 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
3.422/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-1.2%2/10

Revenue declined 1.2%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-45.3%2/10

Earnings declined 45.3%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : BTE

The strongest argument for BTE centers on Debt/Equity, Price/Book.

Bull Case : CNQ

The strongest argument for CNQ centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap. Profitability is solid with margins at 25.1% and operating margin at 21.8%.

Bear Case : BTE

The primary concerns for BTE are Revenue Growth, Return on Equity, EPS Growth.

Bear Case : CNQ

The primary concerns for CNQ are PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

BTE profiles as a turnaround stock while CNQ is a declining play — different risk/reward profiles.

CNQ carries more volatility with a beta of 0.88 — expect wider price swings.

BTE is growing revenue faster at 1.6% — sustainability is the question.

CNQ generates stronger free cash flow (856M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

CNQ scores higher overall (58/100 vs 33/100), backed by strong 25.1% margins. Both earn "Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Baytex Energy Corp

ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA

Baytex Energy Corp. The company is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

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Canadian Natural Resources Ltd

ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA

Canadian Natural Resources Limited acquires, explores, develops, produces, markets and sells crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGL). The company is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

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